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Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors - 1/13/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks
Date & Time Sunday January 13, 2019, 7:00 PM (EST)
Location
American Airlines Center
Dallas, TX
The Line
The Line: Dallas +5.5 -- Over/Under 229
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NBA | Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks
Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

The Golden State Warriors pay a visit to the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center on Sunday night.

The Golden State Warriors have been on a tear lately as they’ve won five of their last six games and they will be looking for a fourth straight victory after blowing past the lowly Bulls in a 146-109 home win on Friday. Klay Thompson drained seven 3-pointers to lead the team with 30 points, Stephen Curry added 28 points with eight assists while Kevin Durant chipped in with 22 points and five assists. As a team, the Warriors shot a sizzling 57 percent from the field and 18 of 39 from the 3-point line as they cruised to victory after storming out of the gates to take a 43-17 lead after the first quarter. With the easy win, Golden State improved to 28-14 overall and 17-6 at home.

Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have been a little inconsistent as they’ve split their last 10 games, but they will be aiming for a third straight victory after taking down the Timberwolves in a thrilling 119-115 road win on Friday. Luka Doncic led the team with 29 points, eight rebounds and 12 assists, Harrison Barnes added 23 points while JJ Barea chipped in with 16 points and seven assists in just 22 minutes off the bench. As a team, the Mavericks shot 45 percent from the field and 13 of 38 from the 3-point line as they squandered a 10-point fourth quarter deficit before Doncic saved the day with three clutch field goals in the final two minutes of action to carry the Mavericks over the line. With the win, Dallas improved to 20-22 overall and 4-18 on the road.

Looking at the betting trends, the Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last four Sunday games, 4-15 ATS in their last 19 against the Western Conference and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a winning home record. The Mavericks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against a team above .600 and 28-13 ATS in their last 41 Sunday games.

Head to head, the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, the Warriors are 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Dallas and the Warriors are 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings overall.

These two squads have already met twice this season with each team winning by single digits at home. The Mavericks have found a bit of form thanks to Doncic who is making a strong case for the Rookie of the Year award, but they will like without Dennis Smith Jr. who has missed two games with a back injury and JJ Barea who went down on Friday. With that being said, the Warriors are 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Dallas and I think that trend continues as they should be too good against the shorthanded Mavericks.

Pick:
Golden State -5.5

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