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Dallas Mavericks vs. Indiana Pacers - 2/27/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks
Date & Time Wednesday February 27, 2019, 8:30 PM (EST)
Location
American Airlines Center
Dallas, TX
The Line
The Line: Dallas +1 -- Over/Under 215.5
TV Channel
FSIN
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Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

The Indiana Pacers and the Dallas Mavericks duke it out at the American Airlines Center on Wednesday night.

The Indiana Pacers have been in great form lately as they’ve won eight of their last 10 games, but they will be looking to bounce back after falling just short against the Pistons in a 113-109 road loss on Monday. Bojan Bogdanovic led the team with 25 points, Domantas Sabonis added 23 points off the bench while Darren Collison chipped in with 21 points and five assists. As a team, the Pacers shot 46 percent from the field and 10 of 26 from the 3-point line as they fell just short of a big comeback win after a slow start meant they were trailing by as many as 16 points in the first quarter. Myles Turner returned from a two-game absence and scored seven points, but he may be up for a bigger workload as Sabonis left with an ankle sprain late in the game. With the loss, Indiana fell to 40-21 which is currently good for third place in the Eastern Conference standings.

Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have really fallen off the pace lately as they’ve lost six of their last seven games and they will be hoping to snap a five-game skid after falling to the Clippers in a 121-112 road loss on Monday. Luka Doncic led the team with a triple-double of 28 points with 10 rebounds and 10 assists, Dwight Powell added 24 points on 10 of 11 shooting while Tim Hardaway Jr. chipped in with 20 points. As a team, the Mavericks shot 48 percent from the field and 14 of 36 from the 3-point line but on the defensive end, they just had no answer for the Clippers’ Montrezl Harrell who poured in a career-high 32 points on 14 of 17 shooting from the field. With the loss, Dallas fell to 26-34 overall and 6-24 on the road.

Looking at the betting trends, the Pacers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games, 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against a team with a winning home record and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall. The Mavericks are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 home games, 0-4 ATS in their last four games against a team with a winning record and 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.

Head to head, the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, the Pacers are 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings overall and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Dallas.

The Pacers were supposed to just fade away when they lost their leading scorer Victor Oladipo, but instead they’ve really come together as a team to win eight of nine before falling to the Pistons on Monday. The Mavericks just can’t buy a win these days despite the rookie Doncic racking up big numbers and even triple-doubles. The Pacers are 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings and I think they can stay hot with another win and cover on the road against this struggling Mavericks outfit.

Pick:
Indiana -1
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