Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans - 3/18/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction
New Orleans Pelicans at Dallas Mavericks
Monday, March 18, 2019 at 7:30 PM (American Airlines Center)
The Line: Dallas -4.5
The New Orleans Pelicans pay a visit to the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center on Monday night.
The New Orleans Pelicans already have one eye on the upcoming offseason as they’ve lost eight of their last 11 games and they will be hoping to snap a six-game skid after falling just short against the Suns in a 138-136 overtime loss at home on Saturday. Julius Randle led the team with 21 points, 11 rebounds and five assists, Elfrid Payton racked up a triple-double of 16 points with 13 rebounds and 16 assists while Anthony Davis and Jahlil Okafor each scored 15 points. As a team, the Pelicans shot 46 percent from the field and 15 of 30 from the 3-point line as the game went right down to the wire, but in a game full of highlights, the biggest play came from the Pelicans’ coach Alvin Gentry who made the big mistake of calling a timeout he didn’t have with the game tied and just 1.1 seconds left on the clock. The Suns’ Devin Booker would go onto make the game-winning technical as the Pelicans fell to 30-42 on the season and 18-17 at home.
Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have been in a serious slump as they’ve lost 12 of their last 14 games, but they will be breathing a little sigh of relief after snapping a seven-game skid with a hard-fought 121-116 home win over the Cavaliers on Saturday. Tim Hardaway Jr. led the team with 22 points on eight of 18 shooting, Dwight Powell and Jalen Brunson each scored 16 points while Max Kleber chipped in with 18 points and 12 rebounds off the bench. As a team, the Mavericks shot 51 percent from the field and 16 of 35 from the 3-point line as they led by double-digits early before holding off a late rally from the Cavaliers thanks to Dirk Nowitzki who scored 10 points in the fourth quarter. With the much-needed win, Dallas improved to 28-41 on the season and 22-13 at home.
Looking at the betting trends, the Pelicans are 7-0 ATS in their last seven Monday games, 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a losing record, 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a loss and 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall. The Mavericks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a losing record, 2-6 ATS in their last eight against the Western Conference and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
Head to head, the over is 5-1 in the last six meetings and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
The Pelicans haven’t been relevant for a while now and they’ve been in terrible form with eight losses in their last 11 games. The Mavericks have been even worse lately as they’ve won just two of their last 14 games, but they looked good in their win over the Cavaliers despite missing Luka Doncic who sat out with a knee contusion. Both teams will be missing key players, but I have to give the edge to the Mavericks who have a little more to play for with Nowitzki now on the cusp of moving past Wilt Chamberlain in the NBA scoring list.