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Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings - 12/16/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Sacramento Kings (15-13) at Dallas Mavericks (15-12)
Date & Time Sunday December 16, 2018, 7:00 PM (EST)
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The Line
The Line: Dallas Mavericks -5 -- Over/Under: 228
TV Channel
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The Sacramento Kings and Dallas Mavericks meet Sunday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center.

The Sacramento Kings look for another victory after winning five of their last seven games. The Sacramento Kings are averaging 115.6 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 116 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Buddy Hield is averaging 18.9 points and 5.2 rebounds while De'Aaron Fox is averaging 18.1 points and 7.6 assists. Willie Cauley-Stein is the third double-digit scorer and Marvin Bagley III is grabbing 6.1 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 39.1 percent from beyond the arc and 70.2 percent from the free throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game. The Sacramento Kings have split their last eight road games.

The Dallas Mavericks also look for a victory after winning five of their last seven games. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 109.4 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 107.6 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Harrison Barnes is averaging 17.9 points and 4.4 rebounds while Luka Doncic is averaging 17.8 points and 4.5 assists. Wesley Matthews is the third double-digit scorer and Dennis Smith Jr. is dishing four assists. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 74.8 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.6 rebounds per game. The Dallas Mavericks have won 11 straight home games.

The Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Sunday games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Mavericks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games, 26-12 ATS in their last 38 Sunday games and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Kings are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Dallas and 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 overall. The over is 11-3 in Kings last 14 overall.

Both the Kings and Mavericks have been two of the biggest surprises in the league and we're deep enough into the season to think neither young club is going away. The difference here is that the Mavericks are much better at home where they're shooting 47.5 percent from the field and outscoring teams by 9.3 points. The Kings struggle big time defensively on the road and the loss of Bagley for likely two weeks won't help matters. I'll gladly lay the reasonable chalk with the Mavs based on how dominant they've been at home.

Dallas Mavericks -5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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