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Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs - 1/16/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks
Date & Time Wednesday January 16, 2019, 8:30 PM (EST)
Location
American Airlines Center
Dallas, Texas
The Line
The Line: Dallas Mavericks -1 -- Over/Under: 218.5
TV Channel
FSSW
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Soobum Im-USA TODAY Sports

The San Antonio Spurs and Dallas Mavericks meet Wednesday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center.

The San Antonio Spurs could use a win here after losing three of their last four games. The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 111.8 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 109.4 points on 46.2 percent shooting. DeMar DeRozan is averaging 21.9 points and 6.4 assists while LaMarcus Aldridge is averaging 20.8 points and 8.6 rebounds. Rudy Gay is the third double-digit scorer and Bryn Forbes is dishing 2.2 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 40.2 percent from beyond the arc and 82 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.5 rebounds per game. The San Antonio Spurs have lost four of their last six road games.

The Dallas Mavericks also need a win after losing five of their last eight games. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 110 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 109.7 points on 46 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 20.2 points and five assists while Harrison Barnes is averaging 18.2 points and 4.2 rebounds. Wesley Matthews is the third double-digit scorer and DeAndre Jordan is grabbing 14 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 74.7 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.1 rebounds per game. The Dallas Mavericks have won 10 of their last 13 home games.

The Spurs are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. Western Conference, 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 1 days rest and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Mavericks are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Spurs are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The under is 5-2 in Mavericks last 7 overall. The over is 11-3-1 in Spurs last 15 road games.

The San Antonio Spurs have won eight of the last 10 meetings against the Dallas Mavericks and are the better team overall. The problem is the Spurs haven't been early as good on the road as they've been at home, as they're allowing nearly 48 percent shooting and are being outscored by an average of 3.6 points. The Dallas Mavericks are winning by an average of 6.3 points at home and are an impressive 15-6 ATS at home. When you factor in that the Spurs are awful on the road and the Mavs are really good at home, you have to lean Dallas in this toss-up game.

Pick:
Dallas Mavericks -1

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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