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Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks - 12/18/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Dallas Mavericks (15-13) at Denver Nuggets (20-9)
Date & Time Tuesday December 18, 2018, 9:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Denver Nuggets -5 -- Over/Under: 207
TV Channel
ALT, FSSW
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NBA | Dallas Mavericks (15-13) at Denver Nuggets (20-9)
Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

The Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Pepsi Center.

The Dallas Mavericks look for a spark of consistency after splitting their last six games. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 109.6 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 108.1 points on 46 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 18.2 points and 6.7 rebounds while Harrison Barnes is averaging 17.8 points and 1.2 assists. Wesley Matthews is the third double-digit scorer and Dennis Smith Jr. is dishing four assists. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 74.9 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.8 rebounds per game. The Dallas Mavericks have lost four of their last five road games.

The Denver Nuggets look to keep the ball rolling after winning 10 of their last 12 games. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 109.4 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 102.9 points on 44.5 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 17.7 points and 9.9 rebounds while Jamal Murray is averaging 17.5 points and 4.7 assists. Gary Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Paul Millsap is grabbing seven rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 31.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.1 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have won their last six home games.

The Mavericks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 Tuesday games, 16-5 ATS in their last 21 vs. NBA Northwest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Nuggets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The under is 9-4 in Nuggets last 13 overall. The under is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 overall.

The Dallas Mavericks have been kind to us all season in the underdog role, and we'll continue to back them at home. However, the Mavs struggle at both ends of the floor on the road and are being outscored by 7.5 points on the road this season. The Denver Nuggets are quietly one of the hottest teams in the league right now, finally starting to play to their potential, and they're outscoring teams by 12.1 points at home this season. The home team has also not only covered majority of the games between the Mavs and Nuggets, but they've also won eight of the last 10 meetings SU. Give me the Nuggets and the small chalk.

Pick:
Denver Nuggets -5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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