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Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks - 3/14/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets
Date & Time Thursday March 14, 2019, 10:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Pepsi Center
Denver, CO
The Line
The Line: Denver -11 -- Over/Under 220
TV Channel
TNT
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NBA | Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets
Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

The Denver Nuggets play host to the Dallas Mavericks at the Pepsi Center on Thursday night.

The Dallas Mavericks have been in a real slump as they’ve lost 11 of their last 12 games and they will be hoping to snap a six-game skid after falling to the Spurs in a 112-105 home loss on Tuesday. Jalen Brunson led the team with 34 points on 12 of 16 shooting, Dwight Powell added 20 points while Luka Doncic chipped in with 12 points with seven assists. As a team, the Mavericks shot 46 percent from the field and 14 of 39 from the 3-point line as they hung with the red-hot Spurs from start to finish despite Doncic having his worst game of his rookie season as he shot just five of 18 from the field while committing nine turnovers. With the narrow loss, Dallas fell to 27-40 on the season and 21-13 at home.

Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have been a little below their best as they’ve lost four of their last six games, but they will be looking to build some momentum after blowing past the Timberwolves in a 133-107 home win on Tuesday. Jamal Murray led the team with 30 points on 10 of 16 shooting, Paul Millsap added 23 points on eight of 12 shooting while Monte Morris chipped in with 16 points and six assists off the bench. As a team, the Nuggets shot a sizzling 60 percent from the field and 18 of 30 from the 3-point line as they dominated the Timberwolves from start to finish, but it’s hard to get too excited as the Timberwolves were without key players in Derrick Rose, Jeff Teague and Andrew Wiggins. Still, the Nuggets needed the win to get their season back on track as they improved to 44-22 on the season and 28-6 at home which is good for second place in the Western Conference standings.

Looking at the betting trends, the Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a record above .600, 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a losing record, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last six Thursday games.

The Mavericks have really fallen off the face of the Earth lately as they’ve won just one of their last 12 games, but they were competitive in their narrow loss to the red-hot Spurs, so an upset isn’t out of the question. However, the Nuggets have been tough to beat at home all season and they just routed the Timberwolves by 26 points in their last outing. The Nuggets are also 9-3 ATS in theirlast 12 home games and I think that trend continues here as the Nuggets cruise.

 

Pick:
Denver -11

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