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Denver Nuggets vs. Indiana Pacers - 3/16/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Indiana Pacers at Denver Nuggets
Date & Time Saturday March 16, 2019, 9:00 PM (EDT)
Pepsi Center
Denver, CO
The Line
The Line: Denver -7.5 -- Over/Under 215
TV Channel
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Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

The Indiana Pacers and the Denver Nuggets duke it out at the Pepsi Center on Saturday night.

The Indiana Pacers haven’t been at their best as they’ve lost five of their last nine games, but they will be aiming for a third straight victory after sneaking past the Thunder in a 108-106 home win on Thursday. Domantas Sabonis led the team with 26 points, seven rebounds and four assists off the bench, Bojan Bogdanovic added 23 points with five assists while Darren Collison chipped in with 17 points and seven assists. As a team, the Pacers shot 45 percent from the field and seven of 22 from the 3-point line as they were sleepwalking against the Thunder in the first half until they clicked into gear after falling behind by as many as 18 points to steal the game on a Wesley Matthews tip in with just 1.8 seconds remaining. With the win, Indiana improved to 44-25 overall and 27-9 at home which is good for fourth place in the Eastern Conference standings.

Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have been in similar form as they’ve lost four of their last seven games, but they too will be going for a third straight win after sneaking past the Mavericks in a thrilling 100-99 home win on Thursday. Paul Millsap had the hot hand for the Nuggets as he scored 33 points on 14 of 19 shooting, Jamal Murray added 12 points with seven assists while Nikola Jokic racked up 11 points with 14 rebounds and eight assists. As a team, the Nuggets shot 48 percent from the field and eight of 29 from the 3-point line as they struggled against the Mavericks for most of the game, falling behind by as many as 12 points early in the fourth quarter before they rallied to steal the game on a buzzer-beating game winner from Jokic. With the thrilling win, Denver improved to 45-22 overall and 29-6 at home.

Looking at the betting trends, the Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games, 1-7 ATS in their last eight against a team above .600 and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games playing on one days rest. The Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against a team with a winning road record, 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss and 18-8 ATS in their last 26 home games.

Head to head, the over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Denver, the Pacers are 2-5-1 ATS in the last eight meetings overall and 1-3-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Denver.

Both teams will be full of confidence after earning thrilling wins in their last outing, so I’m expect a good one here, especially because this is just the first meeting between the teams this season. Both teams are in similar form, but the Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games and 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against a team above .600, so I’m going to have to stick with the Nuggets who are always tough to beat at the Pepsi Center.

Denver -7.5
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