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Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers - 12/3/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets
Date & Time Tuesday December 3, 2019, 9:00 PM (EST)
Location
Pepsi Center
Denver, CO
The Line
Denver Nuggets -2.0 . Total 210.5
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Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Lakers are on the road for a matchup with the Denver Nuggets.  The Lakers are (17-3), coming off a 114-100 loss to the Dallas Mavericks.  The Nuggets are (13-4), after falling 100-97 to the Sacramento Kings.

In the Lakers loss to the Mavericks, Los Angeles was led offensively by Anthony Davis.  Davis recorded a double-double in the game, registering 27 points and 10 rebounds.  The Lakers shot 46% from the floor and 26% from 3-point range.  The difference in the game, did in fact come from 3-point shooting.  The Mavericks made 17 3-pointers, while the Lakers made just 7.  The Mavericks out rebounded the Lakers, 60 to 50.  The Lakers biggest deficit was 21 points.

In the Nuggets loss to the Kings, Denver was guided on offense by Gary Harris.  Harris made 8 of his 16 attempts from the floor, while making 5 of 6 from the foul line, totaling 25 points.  The Nuggets out shot the Kings percentage wise from the floor, 41% to 38%.  The Nuggets were out rebounded, 63 to 57, including giving up 13 offensive boards to the Kings.  The Nuggets had a sizable lead in the game, leading by as many as 17 points, before falling in OT.

Recent Betting Trends:

Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Lakers are 1-6 ATS int heir last 7 vs the Western Conference. 

The under is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 overall.

Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

The under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 overall.

The over is 10-3 in the last 13 matchups when playing in Denver.  The Lakers have not been good ATS in their last 7 games, going just 2-5.  The Nuggets have been very solid at home, posting an 8-2 SU record.  The Nuggets seem to play better against greater competition, considering the Nuggets last two losses have came against the Hawks and the Kings.  The Lakers have been sneaking away with some close victories in recent weeks and this matchup with the Nuggets could give the Lakers 2 losses in a row.  I'll side with the Nuggets at home, since the Nuggets do have the best scoring defense in the league.  Final score prediction, Nuggets win and cover, 105-101.  

Pick:
DEN -2.0
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