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Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat - 2/11/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets
Date & Time Monday February 11, 2019, 9:00 PM (EST)
Location
Pepsi Center
Denver, Colorado
The Line
The Line: Denver Nuggets -10 -- Over/Under: 212.5
TV Channel
ALT, FSS
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NBA | Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets
Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Heat and Denver Nuggets meet Monday in NBA action at the Pepsi Center.

The Miami Heat could use a win after losing five of their last six games. The Miami Heat are averaging 105 points on 44.5 percent shooting and allowing 105.5 points on 44.3 percent shooting. Josh Richardson is averaging 17.4 points and 3.8 assists while Dwyane Wade is averaging 14 points and 4.3 assists. Hassan Whiteside is the third double-digit scorer and Justise Winslow is grabbing 5.4 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 68.9 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.6 rebounds per game. The Miami Heat have split their last eight road games.

The Denver Nuggets could use a win here to snap a three-game losing streak. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 112 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 107.3 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 20.4 points and 10.5 rebounds while Jamal Murray is averaging 18.6 points and five assists. Gary Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Paul Millsap is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 75.4 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.2 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have won their last five home games.

The Heat are 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games playing on 0 days rest, 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest, 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Heat are 8-17 ATS in the last 25 meetings and the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The over is 10-4 in Nuggets last 14 overall. The under is 7-2 in Heat last 9 overall.

The Miami Heat are coming off a heartbreaking loss to the Golden State Warriors after having a chance to win it late. There could be a hangover effect on the Heat in this contest, especially with a quick turnaround and Denver being a tough place to play in general. The problem is the Denver Nuggets are riding a three-game losing streak and are allowing 51.2 percent shooting in their last five games. The Nuggets aren't a team I'm trying to lay a big number with at the moment. The Miami Heat are also 9-3 ATS this season when an underdog of at least four points. I'll take a stab with the Heat and the free buckets.

Pick:
Miami Heat +10

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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