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Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - 4/10/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets
Date & Time Wednesday April 10, 2019, 10:30 PM (EDT)
Pepsi Center
Denver, Colorado
The Line
The Line: Denver Nuggets -9.5 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
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Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Pepsi Center.

The Minnesota Timberwolves look to end the season on a high note after losing eight of their last 12 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 112.8 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 114.1 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 24.4 points and 12.4 rebounds while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 18 points and 2.5 assists. Taj Gibson is the third double-digit scorer and Dario Saric is grabbing 5.4 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 37.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45 rebounds per game. The Minnesota Timberwolves have lost nine of their last 11 road games.

The Denver Nuggets could use a win here after losing five of their last eight games. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 110.8 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 106.7 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 20.2 points and 10.8 rebounds while Jamal Murray is averaging 18.2 points and 4.9 assists. Gary Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Paul Millsap is grabbing 7.3 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 75.8 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.5 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have won six of their last seven home games.

The Timberwolves are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Northwest and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games. The Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Denver and the road team is 38-12-1 ATS in the last 51 meetings. The under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 overall. The over is 5-2 in Timberwolves last 7 overall.

The Denver Nuggets are still playing for seeding, and they're winning at home by an average of 10.7 points while a solid 25-15 ATS. The Minnesota Timberwolves are playing like a team that's just waiting for the season to end and the defensive effort gets even worse on the road where they've failed to cover eight of their last 10 games. The Nuggets are 12-6 ATS this season when favored by nine or more points. I don't love laying big chalk on the last game of the season where weird things tend to happen, but the Nuggets at home has been quite profitable, and backing the Timberwolves continues to be a no go for me.

Denver Nuggets -9.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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