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Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazers - 4/29/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets
Date & Time Monday April 29, 2019, 10:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Pepsi Center
Denver, Colorado
The Line
The Line: Denver Nuggets -3.5 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
TNT
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Craig Mitchelldyer-USA TODAY Sports

The Portland Trail Blazers and Denver Nuggets meet Monday in game one of the second round of the NBA playoffs at the Pepsi Center.

The Portland Trail Blazers haven’t played since Tuesday and are coming off a five-game series against the OKC Thunder. The Portland Trail Blazers are averaging 111 points on 44.7 percent shooting and allowing 105.2 points on 44 percent shooting. Damian Lillard is averaging 33 points and six assists while CJ McCollum is averaging 24.4 points and 5.4 rebounds. Enes Kanter is the third double-digit scorer and Al-Farouq Aminu is grabbing 6.8 rebounds. The Portland Trail Blazers are shooting 40.5 percent from beyond the arc and 78.8 percent from the free throw line. The Portland Trail Blazers are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.4 rebounds per game. The Portland Trail Blazers have won seven of their last 11 road games.

The Denver Nuggets are thrown right back into a series after playing seven games against the San Antonio Spurs. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 105.1 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 103.3 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 23.1 points and 12.1 rebounds while Jamal Murray is averaging 19 points and 4.1 assists. Gary Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Paul Millsap is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 74 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have won 10 of their last 12 home games.

The Trail Blazers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 3 or more days rest, 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Conference Semifinals games. The Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games, 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. NBA Northwest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. The Trail Blazers are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Denver and 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The under is 22-10 in Nuggets last 32 overall. The under is 7-3-1 in Trail Blazers last 11 road games.

The home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings and the Nuggets have been on the winning side in six of the last seven meetings against the Trail Blazers. The difference here is that the Trail Blazers have a major rest advantage and enter this series rather confident with their star players playing like stars. The Denver Nuggets only have a couple of days to prepare for this contest and were often hit or miss in that series against the Spurs. At times the Nuggets can't miss, other times they're sluggish. Unlike the Spurs, the Portland Trail Blazers are going to make shots and can hit back with an avalanche of quality offense. The Trail Blazers will be able to take advantage of what the Spurs couldn't do to the Nuggets. I'm taking the bucket with the Trail Blazers, a team that should be favored to win this series. 

Pick:
Portland Trail Blazers +3.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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