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Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazers - 5/12/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets
Date & Time Sunday May 12, 2019, 3:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Pepsi Center
Denver, CO
The Line
The Line: Denver -5.5 -- Over/Under 212.5
TV Channel
ABC
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Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

The Portland Trailblazers and the Denver Nuggets duke it out in Game 7 at the Pepsi Center on Sunday.

The Portland Trailblazers will be looking to book their tickets to the Western Conference Finals after taking down the Nuggets by 119-108 in Game 6 to force a series decider. Damian Lillard drained six 3-pointers to lead the team with 32 points and five assists, CJ McCollum was right there with him as he added 30 points on 12 of 24 shooting while Rodney Hood continued his breakout with 25 points on eight of 12 shooting off the bench. As a team, the Trailblazers shot 46 percent from the field and 15 of 33 from the 3-point line as they fell into an early 10-point deficit before taking control of the game with a 32-17 run in the second quarter. The Trailblazers would stay in the lead for most of the game and rarely looked in danger and that was because they got production from every player who played extended minutes.

Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets will be kicking themselves after missing out on a crucial chance to seal the deal in Game 6. Nikola Jokic was once again outstanding on the offensive end as he racked up 29 points with 12 rebounds and eight assists on 10 of 15 shooting, Jamal Murray added 24 points with 10 rebounds and five assists, Paul Millsap scored 17 points while Gary Harris chipped in with 15 points and five assists. As a team, the Nuggets shot just 38 percent from the field and 12 of 32 from the 3-point line and the main culprits were Millsap who shot just four of 15 from the field and Malik Beasley who shot zero for eight to finish with just two points off the bench.  

Looking at the betting trends, the Trailblazers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games, 5-11 ATS in their last 16 Conference Semifinals games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Nuggets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games, 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a loss and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing on two days rest.

Head to head, the over is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings overall, the Trailblazers are 3-9-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings overall and the Trailblazers are 2-5-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in Denver.

The Trailblazers needed to come out swinging in Game 6 and they were able to hang on for the win after a dominant second quarter. Lillard and McCollum were both fantastic for the Trailblazers and they will need all their production and more if they want to beat the Nuggets who won 34-7 at home during the regular season. Playing at home is a big advantage for the Nuggets and their role players in particular, but in the biggest of games, it’s up to the best players to lead the way, so that’s why I’m leaning towards Lillard and the Trailblazers to pull off the minor upset here.

 

Pick:
Portland +5.5
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