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Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazers - 5/7/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets
Date & Time Tuesday May 7, 2019, 10:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Pepsi Center
Denver, CO
The Line
The Line: Denver -4.5 -- Over/Under 213.5
TV Channel
TNT
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The Portland Trailblazers pay a visit to the Denver Nuggets in a pivotal Game 5 at the Pepsi Center on Tuesday night.

The Portland Trailblazers will be kicking themselves after missing out on a crucial chance to take a 3-1 series lead as they lost to the Nuggets in a 116-112 loss in Game 4. CJ McCollum has been fantastic during this series and continued his hot shooting with a team-high 29 points on 10 of 20 shooting, Damian Lillard added 28 points with seven assists, Al-Farouq Aminu scored 19 points while Seth Curry chipped in with 16 points off the bench. As a team, the Trailblazers shot 47 percent from the field and 12 of 28 from the 3-point line as they poured in 63 points in the first half to lead for most of the game until the third quarter where they managed just 14 points. Still, the Trailblazers were right in the contest as Lillard started to heat up down the stretch, but the Nuggets executed well down the stretch and made sure to get the ball into Jamal Murray’s hands who didn’t miss any free throws.

Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets were practically playing for their season in Game 4 and it showed as they took control of Game 4 in the third quarter, before doing just enough to hold off the late rally. Jamal Murray was fantastic as he led the team with a game-high 34 points on 10 of 20 shooting, Nikola Jokic racked up a triple-double of 21 points with 12 rebounds and 11 assists, Paul Millsap scored 21 points while Gary Harris chipped in with 14 points. As a team, the Nuggets shot just 43 percent from the field and 11 of 25 from the 3-point line, but they were composed with the ball as they committed just eight turnovers and their aggression on the boards led to 17 offensive rebounds. Still, despite dominating the third quarter, the Nuggets had to fight till the end, but to their credit, they were able to get the ball to Murray who finished a perfect 11 for 11 from the free-throw line.

Looking at the betting trends, the Trailblazers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a loss, 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team above .600 and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games. The Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against a team above .600, 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against a team with a winning road record and 8-1 ATS in their last nine Conference Semifinals games.

Head to head, the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, the over is 7-1 in the last eight meetings and the Trailblazers are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings overall.

The Nuggets will be full of confidence after levelling the series in Game 4 while the Trailblazers will be ruing their missed opportunities as this series boils down to a best of three. You just felt that the Trailblazers would win Game 4 if they could just tie the game, but the Nuggets just wouldn’t miss down the stretch as everyone from Jokic, Harris, Millsap and Murray made clutch shots down the stretch. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Trailblazers pull off the upset here so I'm tempted to take the points,  but I have this series going the distance, so I’m sticking with the Nuggets to stay hot with a win and cover here.

Pick:
Denver -4.5
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