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Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs - 12/28/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Antonio Spurs (19-16) at Denver Nuggets (21-11)
Date & Time Friday December 28, 2018, 9:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Denver Nuggets -3.5 -- Over/Under: 214
TV Channel
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The San Antonio Spurs and Denver Nuggets meet Friday in NBA action at the Pepsi Center.

The San Antonio Spurs look to stay hot after winning eight of their last 10 games. The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 111.3 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 109.3 points on 46.3 percent shooting. DeMar DeRozan is averaging 23.3 points and 6.2 assists while LaMarcus Aldridge is averaging 18.9 points and 9.1 rebounds. Rudy Gay is the third double-digit scorer and Bryn Forbes is dishing 2.3 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 40 percent from beyond the arc and 82.6 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game. The San Antonio Spurs have lost four of their last five road games.

The Denver Nuggets look for a spark of consistency after splitting their last eight games. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 109.8 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 104.5 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 17.7 points and 9.8 rebounds while Jamal Murray is averaging 17.4 points and 4.9 assists. Gary Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Paul Millsap is grabbing seven rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 74.9 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 32.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.8 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have won seven straight home games.

The Spurs are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, 23-8 ATS in their last 31 Friday games and 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Nuggets are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Friday games and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Spurs are 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Denver and 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The over is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. The under is 7-2 in Spurs last 9 overall.

The San Antonio Spurs are finally starting to put things together, and they've been on fire during this winning stretch where they're shooting 53.4 percent from the field and outscoring teams by 18.6 points during their last five games. The problem is the Spurs have done most of their damage at home and haven't been able to bring that same energy on the road. The Denver Nuggets are outscoring teams by 11.8 points at home this season and have covered seven straight at the Pepsi Center. I'll lay the bucket with the Nuggets. I don't trust the Spurs on the road. 

Denver Nuggets -3.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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