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Denver Nuggets vs. Washington Wizards - 3/31/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Washington Wizards at Denver Nuggets
Date & Time Sunday March 31, 2019, 8:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Pepsi Center
Denver, Colorado
The Line
The Line: Denver Nuggets -11.5 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ALT
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Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Wizards and Denver Nuggets meet Sunday in NBA action at the Pepsi Center.

The Washington Wizards could use a win here after losing seven of their last nine games. The Washington Wizards are averaging 114.4 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 117.2 points on 47.9 percent shooting. Bradley Beal is averaging 26.1 points and 5.1 rebounds while Jabari Parker is averaging 15.3 points and 7.4 rebounds. Bobby Portis is the third double-digit scorer and Trevor Ariza is grabbing 5.3 rebounds. The Washington Wizards are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 76.8 percent from the free throw line. The Washington Wizards are allowing 37.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42 rebounds per game. The Washington Wizards have lost six of their last seven road games.

The Denver Nuggets look to stay hot after winning eight of their last 11 games. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 111.1 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 106.9 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 20.2 points and 10.9 rebounds while Jamal Murray is averaging 18.3 points and 4.8 assists. Gary Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Paul Millsap is grabbing 7.2 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 76 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.6 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have won their last four home games.

The Wizards are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest, 16-35 ATS in their last 51 road games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference. The Nuggets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. Eastern Conference. The Wizards are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The under is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 overall. The over is 18-8 in Wizards last 26 overall.

The Denver Nuggets have been really solid at covering at home this season and are 8-3 ATS as a double-digit favorite overall. The Washington Wizards are 2-6 ATS when a double-digit underdog and have been horrible at covering on the road dating back to last season. A case can be made for the Wizards, especially when you consider the meeting two weeks ago was competitive. But the trends heavily favor the Nuggets, a team that has everything to play for with a possible No. 1 seed within reach. There's better options on the board, but I'd lay the chalk with the Nuggets at home if forced to pick.

Pick:
Denver Nuggets -11.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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