Detroit Pistons vs. Indiana Pacers - 4/3/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Indiana Pacers at Detroit Pistons
Wednesday, April 3, 2019 at 6:00 PM (Little Caesars Arena)
The Line: Detroit -1
TV: FSIN, FSDT
The Indiana Pacers pay a visit to the Detroit Pistons at Little Caesars Arena on Wednesday night.
The Indiana Pacers have been in a bit of a funk as they’ve lost seven of their last nine games, but they will be feeling much better after snapping a three-game skid with a 111-102 home win over the Pistons on Monday. Thaddeus Young led the team with 19 points, nine rebounds and five assists, Bojan Bogdanovic added 19 points with six assists, Domantas Sabonis scored 18 points with 12 rebounds off the bench while Myles Turner chipped in with 17 points and five blocks. As a team, the Pacers shot a healthy 54 percent from the field and 10 of 22 from the 3-point line as they fell into an early 10-point deficit in the first quarter, before taking control of the game in the second quarter where they outscored the Pistons by 36-22, before pulling away early in the fourth quarter. With the much-needed win, Indiana improved to 46-32 overall and 29-10 at home which is good for fifth place in the Eastern Conference standings.
Meanwhile, the Detroit Pistons have been in decent shape as they’ve split their last 10 games and they were gunning for a third straight win before getting stopped by the Pacers on Monday. Wayne Ellington led the team with 26 points on 10 of 19 shooting, Reggie Jackson added 22 points with four assists while Andre Drummond racked up 18 points with 17 rebounds, five assists and four steals. As a team, the Pistons shot just 43 percent from the field as they set the tone with 33 points in the first quarter before fading down the stretch as they struggled without their best player in Blake Griffin who sat out Monday with a knee injury. With the tough loss, Detroit fell to 39-38 on the season and 14-25 on the road which is currently good for sixth place in the Eastern Conference.
Looking at the betting trends, the Pacers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 road games, 0-6 ATS in their last six Wednesday games and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win. The Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a loss, 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record and 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
Head to head, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings, the over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Detroit and the Pacers are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings overall.
The Pacers now lead the season series by 2-1 following their win on Monday, but there is just so much at stake in terms of playoff position for the Pistons, so I’m expecting a closer contest in this one. The Pacers have the momentum following their much-needed win on Monday, but the Pacers are only 5-16 ATS in their last 21 road games, while the Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a loss. These two teams are closely matched on paper so it’s tough to see the Pacers winning both games of a home and home series. Griffin is currently listed as questionable for this one, but I'm still taking the Pistons to bounce back into form with a win and cover here.