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Detroit Pistons vs. Miami Heat - 11/5/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Miami Heat (3-5) at Detroit Pistons (4-4)
Date & Time Monday November 5, 2018, 7:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Detroit Pistons -5 -- Over/Under:
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NBA | Miami Heat (3-5) at Detroit Pistons (4-4)
Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Pistons play host to the Miami Heat at Little Caesars Palace on Monday night.

The Miami Heat have won just three of their first eight games of the season and they will be hoping to snap a three-game skid after falling to the Hawks in a 123-118 road loss on Saturday. Josh Richardson led the team with a career-high 32 points, Dwyane Wade added 19 points, Rodney McGruder scored 18 points while Tyler Johnson chipped in with 17 points. As a team, the Heat shot 47 percent from the field and 16 of 40 from the three-point line but they just couldn’t get past the Hawks despite rallying all the way back from a 15-point third quarter deficit. Goran Dragic sat out Saturday’s game with a right foot injury and his status for Monday is uncertain.

Meanwhile, the Detroit Pistons kicked off their season with four straight wins but now they’ll be hoping to snap a four-game losing streak after falling to the 76ers in a 109-99 road loss on Saturday. Blake Griffin led the team with 38 points, 13 rebounds and six assists while Langston Galloway chipped in with 13 points off the bench but no other player finished in double figures. As a team, the Pistons shot just 39 percent from the field and a miserable five of 30 from the three-point line as they failed to make it a contest after falling behind by 69-47 going into halftime.

Looking at the betting trends, the Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games, 2-7 ATS in their last nine against the Eastern Conference and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against a team with a losing record and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a loss.

Head to head, the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, the over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings and the Heat are 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings in Detroit.

The Heat have been struggling lately and they will be kicking themselves after failing to beat the Hawks after rallying back from that 15-point deficit, so they will be eager to stop the skid with a road win here. The Pistons were still competitive in their first three losses, but they looked terrible against the 76ers on Saturday. I’m not ruling out an upset for the Heat even though they could again be without Dragic, but I think the Pistons bounce back at home where they’ve covered in six of the last eight meetings against the Heat.

Pick:
Detroit -5

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