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Detroit Pistons vs. Milwaukee Bucks - 4/22/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons
Date & Time Monday April 22, 2019, 8:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Little Caesars Arena
Detroit, MI
The Line
The Line: Detroit +11.5 -- Over/Under 218.5
TV Channel
TNT
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Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Pistons will be hoping to stave off elimination against the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 4 at Little Caesars Arena on Monday night.

The Milwaukee Bucks are now just one win away from booking their tickets to the second round as they made light work of the Pistons in a 119-103 win in Game 3. Khris Middleton led the team in scoring with 20 points, eight rebounds and four assists, Brook Lopez added 19 points with five blocks while Eric Bledsoe chipped in with 10 points, six rebounds and five assists. As a team, the Bucks shot 48 percent from the field and 14 of 38 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 67 points in a dominant first half, before putting the game well out of reach in the third quarter where they outscored the Pistons by 33-24 to lead by as many as 24 points before coach Mike Budenholzer rested his starters. Giannis Antetokounmpo had a quiet game of just 14 points with 10 rebounds on five of 13 shooting as he battled foul trouble all game.

Meanwhile, the Detroit Pistons will just be happy to avoid the sweep after getting blown out in each of the three games in this series. Blake Griffin made his first appearance of the playoffs in a boost for the Pistons and led the team with 27 points, seven rebounds and six assists, Reggie Jackson added 15 points with six rebounds and eight assists, while Wayne Ellington chipped in with 13 points. As a team, the Pistons shot just 38 percent from the field and 11 of 36 from the 3-point line, but that was nowhere near enough to hang with the Bucks after getting outscored by 67-54 in the first half. Andre Drummond couldn’t get in the game as he scored just 12 points with 12 rebounds while Luke Kennard chipped in with just nine points in a rare start.

Looking at the betting trends, the Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last five Conference Quarterfinals games, 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games and 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 games against a team with a losing record. The Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last six Conference Quarterfinals games, 0-4 ATS in their last four home games and 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall.

Head to head, the home team is 5-2-2 ATS in the last nine meetings, the over is 4-1 in the last five meetings and the Bucks are 6-0-1 ATS in the last seven meetings overall.

The Bucks are on the cusp of winning their first playoff series since 2001 while the Pistons are coming fresh off their 13th straight playoff loss, tying the NBA record set by the Knicks. The Pistons will be hoping to avoid the sweep here, but the Bucks have blown out the Pistons in each game of this series, so it’s hard to see anything but another easy win here, especially with Griffin still playing injured. The Bucks are just too talented and deep for the Pistons this season.

Pick:
Milwaukee -11.5
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