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Detroit Pistons vs. San Antonio Spurs - 1/7/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
San Antonio Spurs at Detroit Pistons
Date & Time Monday January 7, 2019, 7:00 PM (EST)
Location
Little Caesars Arena
Detroit
The Line
The Line: Detroit +3.5 -- Over/Under 214
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The San Antonio Spurs pay a visit to the Detroit Pistons at Little Caesars Arena on Monday night.

The San Antonio Spurs have been on a tear since early December as they’ve won 12 of their last 15 games and they will be gunning for a fifth straight victory after blowing past the Grizzlies in a 108-88 home win on Saturday. Derrick White led the team in scoring with 19 points, LaMarcus Aldridge added 18 points with seven assists, Patty Mills scored 15 points off the bench while DeMar DeRozan chipped in with just 12 points, nine rebounds and four assists. As a team, the Spurs shot 49 percent from the field and seven of 22 from the 3-point line but against the slumping Grizzlies, all they needed was one big run in the 37-19 second quarter to put the game to bed before halftime. With the easy win, San Antonio improved to 23-17 overall and 17-5 at home.

Meanwhile, the Detroit Pistons have been in a slump since early December as they’ve lost 13 of their last 17 games and they will be hoping to bounce back after falling short against the Jazz in a 110-105 home loss on Saturday. Blake Griffin led the team with 34 points, 10 rebounds and five assists on 13 of 21 shooting, Reggie Bullock added 19 points while Andre Drummond chipped in with 15 points and 18 rebounds. As a team, the Pistons shot 47 percent from the field and 11 of 25 from the 3-point line as they got the jump on the Jazz to lead by as many as 18 points in the first quarter, but in a close contest it was the Jazz who went on a decisive 10-0 midway through the fourth quarter to run away it late. With the loss, Detroit fell to 17-20 overall and 11-9 at home.  

Looking at the betting trends, the Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a losing record, 3-1-1 ATS in their last five road games and 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Pistons are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record, 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight home games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.

Head to head, the under is 5-0 in the last five meetings and the Spurs are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings overall.

This will be the first of two meetings between the teams this season but it’s obvious which team is playing well, and which team is struggling. The Spurs have quietly been one of the hottest teams in the league since December while the Pistons haven’t won consecutive games since then. The Spurs are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall and 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings against the Pistons and I expect those trends to continue as the Spurs get the win and cover here.

Pick:
San Antonio -3.5
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