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Golden State Warriors at Portland Trail Blazers - 5/18/19 NBA Game 3 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Golden State Warriors at Portland Trail Blazers
Date & Time Saturday May 18, 2019, 9:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Moda Center
Portland, Oregon
The Line
The Line: Portland Trail Blazers -2.5 -- Over/Under: 221.5
TV Channel
TNT
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The Golden State Warriors and Portland Trail Blazers meet Saturday in game three of the NBA Western Conference Finals at the Moda Center.

The Golden State Warriors can all but put this series to bed with a victory and a 3-0 lead. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 117.6 points on 48.9 percent shooting and allowing 110.9 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 34.2 points and 5.2 rebounds while Stephen Curry is averaging 26 points and 5.4 assists. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Draymond Green is grabbing 9.4 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 37.9 percent from beyond the arc and 81.7 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have won four of their last six road games.

The Portland Trail Blazers need a win here to have any real shot of winning this series. The Portland Trail Blazers are averaging 109.9 points on 43.5 percent shooting and allowing 110.6 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Damian Lillard is averaging 27.4 points and 6.3 assists while CJ McCollum is averaging 24.7 points and 5.4 rebounds. Enes Kanter is the third double-digit scorer and Rodney Hood is grabbing 2.4 rebounds. The Portland Trail Blazers are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free throw line. The Portland Trail Blazers are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46 rebounds per game. The Portland Trail Blazers have won five of their last six home games.

The Warriors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Saturday games, 11-5 ATS in their last 16 Conference Finals games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Northwest. The Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games. The over is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Portland and 20-8 in the last 28 meetings. The over is 5-2 in Trail Blazers last 7 overall. The over is 3-0-1 in Warriors last 4 road games.

The Golden State Warriors have covered five of their last six games as an underdog. The Portland Trail Blazers have split their last 10 games ATS as a favorite.

Getting the Golden State Warriors as an underdog is always tough to pass up given that they're never truly an underdog based on their roster and everything they've accomplished these past five years. However, the Portland Trail Blazers have hung around in both games this series and certainly played well enough in game two to win. The Trail Blazers haven't shot the ball well in either game, but they return home where they're shooting 45 percent from the field and 39 percent from three during these playoffs. Curry is shooting just 31.5 percent from three in six road playoff games and the Warriors are turning the ball over nearly 12 times on the road as a team. The Portland Trail Blazers did enough in the first two games to suggest they can get back in this series at home. In a must-win situation, I'll lay the bucket with Portland. 

Pick:
Portland Trail Blazers -2.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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