Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics - 11/15/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics - 11/15/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by

Boston Celtics at Golden State Warriors

Friday, November 15, 2019 at 10:30 PM (Chase Center)

Boston -7.5; Total 225.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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Owners of the best and worst records in the NBA will face off in San Francisco on Friday when the Boston Celtics (9-1) travel to Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors (2-10). The Warriors’ swiss cheese defense ranks among the worst in the NBA, allowing more than 120 points nine times in 12 games. The defense has been the key to Golden State’s eight losses in the last nine games.

The Warriors have just two wins -- one over New Orleans when Stephen Curry was still healthy and the other against a surprisingly disappointing Portland squad. In their 10 losses, the Warriors have an average margin of loss of a shocking 15.0 points per game. Things certainly didn’t go well in Wednesday’s 120-94 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers. Golden State fell behind by 12 in the first quarter, trailed by 16 after three, and scored just 12 points in the fourth to lose by 26. D’Angelo Russell was the team’s leading scorer for the fourth straight game with 21 points and eight assists despite five turnovers, while Eric Paschall added 15 off the bench. Three other Warriors also scored in double figures.

Golden State simply couldn’t stop Los Angeles. LeBron James scored 23 with 12 rebounds, Javale McGee added 18 points with 17 rebounds, and Kyle Kuzma scored 22 points in the win. The scary thing for the Warriors is that Anthony Davis didn’t even play for the Lakers. It really could have been a lot worse. Russell is the team’s leading scorers with 25.7 points per game and he adds 6.7 assists per game. Paschall adds 15.5 points per game and three others also average in double figures.

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While things have been a struggle for the Warriors, things have been going very well for the Celtics, even with the loss of Gordon Hayward. Boston has won nine in a row and has won those fairly easily, winning by an average of 11.8 points per game. The closest was a two-point victory against the Knicks, but since that time the Celtics have won by an even bigger average -- 12.8 points per game.

Boston does it on both sides of the court, ranking No. 11 in the NBA in scoring defense allowing 106.9 points per game, and No. 7 in scoring offense at 116.1 points per game. That is the biggest problem in trying to beat this Celtics team -- they can beat you with defense on an off-day shooting and can outscore teams who are hot shooting the ball. 

Wednesday’s win over Washington is a perfect example of just that. Bradley Beal went off for 44 points, but the Celtics countered with seven players in double figures, with Kemba Walker scoring 25, Jayson Tatum scoring 23, and Jaylen Brown adding 22 in a balanced attack. Walker has led the team in scoring five times this season and leads the team overall in scoring averaging 25.0 points per game. Brown adds 20.1 points and Tatum scores 19.8 points per game.

It’s hard to imagine this game not going over the total of 225.5. Eight of Golden State’s 12 games have gone over, while four of the Warriors five home games in which they have been underdogs have gone over. If you take out games for both teams against Charlotte and their low-scoring games overall, Boston is averaging 116.3 points per game on the road and Golden State is averaging 115.4 points per game at home. Look for a high-scoring game in San Francisco and take the over.

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Kevin’s Pick Over 225.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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