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Golden State Warriors vs. Charlotte Hornets - 3/31/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Charlotte Hornets at Golden State Warriors
Date & Time Sunday March 31, 2019, 8:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Oracle Arena
Oakland, CA
The Line
The Line: Golden State -12 -- Over/Under 229.5
TV Channel
FSCR, NSBA, NBAtv
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Sam Sharpe-USA TODAY Sports

 The Charlotte Hornets and the Golden State Warriors duke it out at the Oracle Arena on Sunday night.

The Charlotte Hornets have been in decent form as they’ve won five of their last eight games and they were aiming for a fifth straight win before getting stopped by the Lakers in a 129-115 road loss on Friday. Kemba Walker led the team with 24 points and six assists, Dwayne Bacon added 21 points on eight of 14 shooting, while Mikal Bridges chipped in with 17 points and five assists. As a team, the Hornets shot 47 percent from the field and 15 of 39 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 35 points in the first quarter, but they were always playing from behind after the Lakers took control of the game in the second quarter where they outscored the Hornets by 36-24. The Hornets could’ve done with a better game from Jeremy Lamb who scored just seven points on one of 11 shooting off the bench, but the problem was their defense overall as they allowed the Lakers to shoot a sizzling 56 percent from the field for the game. With the loss, Charlotte fell to 35-40 overall and 11-25 on the road.

Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors were enjoying a nice run of play with six wins in eight games before getting shocked by the Timberwolves in a 131-130 overtime road loss on Friday. Stephen Curry drained a total of 11 3-pointers to finish with 37 points and five assists, Kevin Durant added 23 points with 12 rebounds and seven assists, Klay Thompson scored 20 points while DeMarcus Cousins chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Warriors shot 46 percent from the field and 18 of 40 from the 3-point line as they dominated the early proceedings to lead by 14 points at halftime. However, the Warriors were slow out of the gates in the third quarter and quickly found themselves in a battle as the Timberwolves rallied to win by the smallest of margins as Karl-Anthony Towns made the game-winning free throw with 0.5 seconds left. With the tough loss, Golden State fell to 51-24 overall and 25-13 on the road which has them with an identical record to the second-placed Denver in the Western Conference standings.

Looking at the betting trends, the Hornets are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games against a team with a winning record, 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against a team above .600 and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last six against the Eastern Conference, 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a losing record and 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games overall.

Head to head, the under is 5-1 in the last six meetings, the road team is 6-0-1 ATS in the last seven meetings and the Hornets are 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings in Golden State.

The Hornets beat the Timberwolves, Celtics, Raptors and Spurs before losing to the streaky Lakers on Friday, so it’s fair to say that they’re in great form despite having little to play for. The Warriors were on a nice run of their own before squandering that 14-point halftime lead in their overtime loss to the Timberwolves, so they will be keen to bounce back, especially with their place atop the Western standings now in danger. I’m sure the Warriors get things back on track with a win here, but the Hornets are 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings in Golden State and I think they’re good enough to keep this one to single digits.

Pick:
Charlotte +12
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