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Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets - 4/30/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors
Date & Time Tuesday April 30, 2019, 10:35 PM (EDT)
Location
Oracle Arena
Oakland, CA
The Line
The Line: Golden State -5.5 -- Over/Under 218.5
TV Channel
TNT
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Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

The Golden State Warriors will be aiming to hang onto home-court advantage against the Houston Rockets in Game 2 at the Oracle Arena on Tuesday.

The Houston Rockets will be kicking themselves after falling painfully short in their 104-100 loss to the Warriors in Game 1 on Sunday. James Harden led the team with 35 points and six assists but shot just nine of 28 from the field, Eric Gordon added 27 points on 10 of 19 shooting while Chris Paul chipped in with 17 points and four assists, but no other player scored more than eight points. As a team, the Rockets shot just 41 percent from the field and 14 of 47 from the 3-point line which would usually result in a blowout loss, but they were able to ramp up their defense and hold the Warriors to just 21 points in the fourth quarter to give them a chance at the end, until the referees made their mark in a controversial finish that resulted in Paul getting ejected on the Rockets’ final play after receiving a second technical.

Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors will be breathing a major sigh of relief after clinging onto home-court advantage in Game 1. Kevin Durant continued his red-hot form with a game-high 35 points on 11 of 25 shooting, Stephen Curry had a quiet game of 18 points with four assists while Draymond Green and Andre Iguodala each scored 14 points. As a team, the Warriors shot 50 percent from the field and seven of 22 from the 3-point line as they seemed to be in control for most of the game, but it certainly wasn’t a dominant performance by any means as they only led by two points with 40 seconds left in the game until Curry drained a clutch three over Kenneth Faried to give them a five-point cushion.

Looking at the betting trends, the Rockets are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 against the Western Conference, 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against a team above .600 and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Warriors are 6-0 ATS in their last six games against a team above .600, 10-22-1 ATS in their last 33 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games playing on one days rest.

Head to head, the under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Golden State, the under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings overall and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

The Rockets will be ruing their missed opportunities in Game 1, but they will take solace from the fact that all they need is to win one of these two road games to steal home court advantage. However, you just get the feeling that the Warriors will go to another level after cutting it close in Game 1, so I’m expecting bigger games from Curry and Thompson who were both listed as questionable until game-time on Sunday. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and I was able to pick the Rockets in Game 1, but I’m expecting the Warriors to take it to another level as they blow out the Rockets to take a 2-0 series lead.

Pick:
Golden State -5.5
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