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Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets - 5/27/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Rockets (65-33) at Golden State Warriors (78-18)
Date & Time Wednesday May 27, 2015, 9:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Golden State Warriors -10.5 -- Over/Under: 215.5
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The Golden State Warriors look to close out the series tonight against the Houston Rockets in Game 5.

The Rockets were able to stave off elimination and avoid a series sweep in Game 4 with an impressive 128-115 rout of the Warriors. James Harden poured in 45 points, Josh Smith added 20 points while Trevor Ariza and Dwight Howard added 17 and 14 points respectively, but this win was all about pride and the Rockets just made sure to come out with guns blazing and avoid the sweep in front of their home fans. Right from the tipoff, the Rockets looked like the hungrier team and they actually jumped out to an early 22-7 lead before the Warriors even woke up, but the difference in this game was that they kept piling on the points and fed off the raucus home crowd.

As for the Warriors, Klay Thompson led the scoring with 24 points, Stephen Curry added 23 points while Draymond Green had 21 points, but the Warriors were always playing catchup after they let the Rockets pour in 45 points in the first quarter. In typical fashion, the Warriors slowly chipped away at the lead and actually found themselves down by just seven points before some costly live turnovers led to easy baskets for the Rockets who sealed the deal. The game did not come without its dramas as Howard looked like he should have been ejected for elbowing Andrew Bogut while Curry took a scary fall on his head, but nothing came of either of those incidents.

In ATS trends, the Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a win, while the Warriors are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games following a loss and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games.

The Rockets breathed some life into this series with an impressive win, but it won't mean anything unless they can repeat that performance and win again tonight. Unfortunately for Houston, I don't see that happening as the Warriors should be too tough to beat at home, but I do think that the Rockets will keep this to within 10 points.

Houston +10.5
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