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Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets - 5/8/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors
Date & Time Wednesday May 8, 2019, 10:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Oracle Arena
Oakland, CA
The Line
The Line: Golden State -6 -- Over/Under 219.5
TV Channel
TNT
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Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Rockets and the Golden State Warriors collide in a pivotal Game 5 at the Oracle Arena on Wednesday night.

The Houston Rockets needed to win both of their home games and they will be full of confidence after squaring up the series at 2-2 with a hard-fought 112-108 home win in Game 4. James Harden had the hot hand as he led the team with 38 points, 10 rebounds and four assists on 13 of 29 shooting, Eric Gordon added 20 points on six of 17 shooting, PJ Tucker scored 17 points with 10 rebounds while Chris Paul chipped in with 13 points and five assists. As a team, the Rockets shot 43 percent from the field and 17 of 50 from the 3-point line as they took control of the game with a 36-26 second quarter which gave them just enough of a cushion to hold off a fourth quarter rally from the Warriors. The Rockets often led by double digits but they went ice-cold in the fourth quarter and had to survive two wide open looks from Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant which would've forced overtime. 

Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors will be kicking themselves after missing out on a crucial opportunity to take a 3-1 series lead. Kevin Durant has been sensational in these playoffs and he continued his hot shooting with 34 points, seven rebounds and five assists, Stephen Curry added 30 points with eight assists while Draymond Green racked up 15 points with 10 rebounds and five assists. As a team, the Warriors shot 46 percent from the field and a miserly eight of 33 from the 3-point line as they left themselves too much ground to make up after falling behind by 15-point early in the fourth quarter. 

Looking at the betting trends, the Rockets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a win, 5-2 ATS in their last seven Conference Semifinals games and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against a team above .600, 1-4 ATS in their last five Conference Semifinals games and 11-23-1 ATS in their last 35 home games. 

Head to head, the under is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings overall, the under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Golden State and the Rockets are 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.

With the Rockets winning both of their home games to level the series, the pressure is back on the Warriors to win in their own building. The Warriors won both of their home games, but Game 1 could have gone either way, so the Rockets will be quietly confident here. The Warriors have yet to really dominate the Rockets as both of their wins were by four and six points respectively, and the Rockets are 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings. I'm confident that the Warriors do just enough to escape with the win here, but this feels like too many free points for the Rockets in a game of this magnitude. 

Pick:
Houston +6
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