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Golden State Warriors vs. Miami Heat - 2/10/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors
Date & Time Sunday February 10, 2019, 8:30 PM (EST)
Oracle Arena
Oakland, CA
The Line
The Line: Golden State -14.5 -- Over/Under 222
TV Channel
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Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Heat and the Golden State Warriors do battle at the Oracle Arena on Sunday night.

The Miami Heat have been in a bit of a rut as they’ve lost eight of their past 12 games and they will be looking to bounce back after falling short against the Kings in a 102-96 road loss on Friday. Josh Richardson led the team with 21 points and four assists, Hassan Whiteside added 17 points and 19 rebounds while Dwyane Wade chipped in with 15 points off the bench. As a team, the Heat shot 43 percent from the field and 11 of 33 from the 3-point line as they seemingly had control of the game with an 11-point lead in the fourth quarter before the Kings rallied to steal the game late. With the loss, Miami fell to 25-28 overall and 14-12 on the road.

Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors have been on an absolute tear as they’ve won 14 of their last 15 games and they will be gunning for a fourth straight victory after sneaking past the Suns in a 117-107 road win on Friday. Klay Thompson led the team with 25 points on nine of 17 shooting, Kevin Durant added 21 points with eight rebounds while Stephen Curry chipped in with 20 points, seven rebounds and seven assists. As a team, the Warriors shot 50 percent from the field and 10 of 29 from the 3-point line as they had their hands full against the slumping Suns for most of the game until midway through the fourth quarter where they went on a 13-0 run to pull away late. With the win, Golden State improved to 39-15 overall and 19-8 on the road.

Looking at the betting trends, the Heat are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games, 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team above .600 and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. The Warriors are 0-5 ATS in their last five Sunday games, 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games against a team with a losing record and 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 home games.

Head to head, the under is 4-0 in the last four meetings, the road team is 17-6-4 ATS in the last 27 meetings and the Heat are 3-1-2 ATS in the last six meetings in Golden State.

These two teams have yet to meet this season, but it’s clear which team is in better form as the Warriors have been on a tear while the Heat can’t get any momentum going. Still, the Warriors are only 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 home games so this just seems like too many points to be giving a decent Heat team who are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games, so I’m taking the points in this one.

Miami +14.5
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