Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors
|Date & Time||Tuesday May 14, 2019, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Golden State Warriors -8 -- Over/Under: 218
The Portland Trail Blazers and Golden State Warriors meet Tuesday in game one of the NBA Western Conference Finals at the Oracle Arena.
The Portland Trail Blazers are being thrown right back into a new series after playing seven games with the Denver Nuggets. The Portland Trail Blazers are averaging 111.2 points on 44 percent shooting and allowing 109.8 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Damian Lillard is averaging 28.4 points and six assists while CJ McCollum is averaging 25.6 points and 5.8 rebounds. Enes Kanter is the third double-digit scorer and Al-Farouq Aminu is grabbing 6.8 rebounds. The Portland Trail Blazers are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 76.4 percent from the free throw line. The Portland Trail Blazers are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.7 rebounds per game. The Portland Trail Blazers have split their last six road games.
The Golden State Warriors haven’t played since Friday after beating the Houston Rockets in six games. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 118.1 points on 48.6 percent shooting and allowing 112.3 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 34.2 points and 5.2 rebounds while Stephen Curry is averaging 24.3 points and 5.1 assists. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Draymond Green is grabbing 9.3 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 81.9 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.8 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have won four of their last six home games.
The Trail Blazers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 Tuesday games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. The Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Conference Finals games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Northwest. The Trail Blazers are 9-22 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Golden State and 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The over is 3-1-1 in Warriors last 5 overall. The over is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 overall.
The Portland Trail Blazers have split their last six games ATS as a road underdog. The Golden State Warriors have failed to cover 13 of their last 20 games as a home favorite.
The Portland Trail Blazers beat the Warriors in the last meeting by 22 points as two-point underdogs, and they've actually won four of the last six meetings overall. The Golden State Warriors are obviously more rested, but not having Durant out there still hurts their depth and will force a small rotation to play even longer minutes. The Trail Blazers have the offensive firepower to hang in this series as long as Durant is out, and if Curry or Klay don't bring it, this could be a lot more competitive than many think. The bottom line is the Warriors are banged up and have been horrible at covering numbers at home all season long. I like the value of the Portland Trail Blazers and the free buckets based on their depth.