Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors - 6/13/19 NBA - Game 6 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors
Thursday, June 13, 2019 at 8:00 PM (Oracle Arena)
The Line: Golden State -3 -- Over/Under 211.5
The Golden State Warriors will be looking to force a series decider when they battle the Toronto Raptors in Game 6 of the NBA Finals at the Oracle Arena on Thursday.
The Toronto Raptors will be hoping that they haven’t blown their chance for a championship after missing out on sealing the deal in Game 5. Kawhi Leonard had a rough start to the game but heated up late to finish with a team-high 26 points with 12 rebounds and six assists on nine of 24 shooting, Kyle Lowry added 18 points with six assists, Marc Gasol scored 17 points while Serge Ibaka chipped in with 15 points in just 17 minutes off the bench. As a team, the Raptors shot 44 percent from the field and eight of 32 from the 3-point line as they used a 40-20 run spanning from the third quarter to the fourth quarter to take a six-point lead in the final 2:33 until the Warriors stole the game on a 9-2 run. The Raptors and their fans must’ve felt that they had the game in the bag when Leonard started to heat up late, but four consecutive misses and a turnover during a 1:10 stretch had them finishing on the wrong side of the scoreboard.
Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors will have plenty of mixed emotions coming out of their impressive 106-105 comeback win over the Raptors in Game 5 on Thursday. Stephen Curry led the team with 31 points, eight rebounds and seven assists, Klay Thompson added 26 points, DeMarcus Cousins added 14 points off the bench while Draymond Green chipped in with 10 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists. As a team, the Warriors shot 46 percent from the field and 20 of 42 from the 3-point line as they squandered a 14-point third quarter lead, only to steal the game late thanks to a trio of 3-point shots from Thompson and Curry in the final 2:32. Unfortunately, the win came at a major cost as the Warriors lost Kevin Durant to a torn right Achilles’ tendon that he injured on Monday.
Looking at the betting trends, the Raptors are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games against a team above .600, 3-1-1 ATS in their last five NBA Championship games and 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games overall. The Warriors are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 home games against a team with a road record above .600, 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and 1-3-2 ATS in their last six games overall.
Head to head, the over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Golden State, the road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings, the Raptors are 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings overall and the Raptors are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings in Golden State.
The Warriors needed to fight to keep their season alive and they absolutely did that in Game 5 as they escaped with the unlikely win despite losing Kevin Durant to injury on Monday. Everyone needed to pick up the slack in the absence of Durant and it was Curry and Thompson who stepped up with the clutch 3-pointers, before hustled to make the block on the potential game-winner from Kyle Lowry at the buzzer. With the series still alive, the momentum is with the Warriors who will again be playing for their lives at home, but the Raptors will be confident as they’ve already beaten the Warriors at the Oracle twice this series. I’m tempted to take the Raptors to seal the deal with a road win here, but it’s too hard to go against the Warriors at home with all the chips on the table. I think that Warriors get the job done and force a Game 7 in this one.