Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors - 6/5/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors
Wednesday, June 5, 2019 at 8:00 PM (Oracle Arena)
The Line: Golden State Warriors -6 -- Over/Under: 212.5
The Toronto Raptors and Golden State Warriors meet Wednesday in game three of the NBA Finals at the Oracle Arena.
The Toronto Raptors look for a bounce back showing to take a 2-1 series lead and regain home court advantage. The Toronto Raptors are averaging 105.6 points on 44 percent shooting and allowing 100.5 points on 42 percent shooting. Kawhi Leonard is averaging 30.9 points and 9.1 rebounds while Pascal Siakam is averaging 19 points and 7.1 rebounds. Kyle Lowry is the third double-digit scorer and Marc Gasol is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 82.3 percent from the free throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 32 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.8 rebounds per game. The Toronto Raptors have lost four of their last six road games.
The Golden State Warriors look for back-to-back victories to take a 2-1 series lead. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 116.3 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 110.6 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 34.2 points and 5.2 rebounds while Stephen Curry is averaging 27.4 points and 5.5 assists. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Draymond Green is grabbing 9.9 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 83 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have won their last five home games.
The Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 2 days rest, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NBA Championship games. The Raptors are 3-11 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Golden State and 9-19-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings. The under is 13-6 in Warriors last 19 home games. The over is 5-2 in Raptors last 7 overall.
The Toronto Raptors have covered seven of their last 11 road games as an underdog. The Golden State Warriors have failed to cover 14 of their last 22 home games as a favorite.
It's really tough to have a feel for this game when you have no idea if Klay or Durant are going to play, and Kevon Looney is now out with a broken collarbone. If all three of those guys don't play, I almost have to lean toward the Raptors and the free points just off health alone. However, without knowing the status of those players probably until game time, I'm going to side with the over in this game. This total seems low when you consider Curry and others are going to spend a lot of time shooting threes with their undermanned roster. Th three ball is the one thing the Warriors can use to counter so many missing bodies. The over has also hit in eight of the last 10 meetings between the Raptors and Warriors, and that includes the first two games of this series. Give me the over, as I can't play a side until we know the status of Klay and Durant.