Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors
|Date & Time||Friday June 7, 2019, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Golden State Warriors -5.5 -- Over/Under: 216
The Toronto Raptors and Golden State Warriors meet Friday in game four of the NBA Finals at the Oracle Arena.
The Toronto Raptors can all but put this series to bed with another road win and a 3-1 lead. The Toronto Raptors are averaging 106.4 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 100.9 points on 41.9 percent shooting. Kawhi Leonard is averaging 30.9 points and nine rebounds while Pascal Siakam is averaging 19 points and 7.2 rebounds. Kyle Lowry is the third double-digit scorer and Marc Gasol is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 82.9 percent from the free throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 32.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.6 rebounds per game. The Toronto Raptors have lost four of their last seven road games.
The Golden State Warriors need a win here to even up the series and improve their odds of winning the NBA title. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 115.9 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 111.2 points on 44.5 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 34.2 points and 5.2 rebounds while Stephen Curry is averaging 28.5 points and 5.6 assists. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Draymond Green is grabbing 9.7 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 83 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 36.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have won five of their last six home games.
The Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Friday games. The Warriors are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 Friday games, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. Eastern Conference and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Raptors are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Golden State and 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 overall. The over is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 overall.
The Toronto Raptors have covered eight of their last 12 road games as an underdog. The Golden State Warriors have failed to cover six of their last eight home games as a favorite.
The Golden State Warriors have been horrible against the number all season long at home, so I'm always hesitant in laying reasonable chalk with them. However, Steve Kerr confirmed at the press conference after game three that Klay Thompson will play in game four and the only reason he missed time to begin with was pretty much precautionary. The Toronto Raptors have had this thing all playoffs where they look great one game and are a completely different team the next. So, I'm not sure I trust Lowry and Danny Green to make shots again. The Golden State Warriors have been in these spots before and know now is the time to buckle down and even up this series. With Klay back, the Warriors should win by a decent margin to make this a three-game series.