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Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors - 5/8/19 NBA Game 5 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors
Date & Time Wednesday May 8, 2019, 10:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Oracle Arena
Oakland, California
The Line
The Line: Golden State Warriors -6 -- Over/Under: 219.5
TV Channel
TNT
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The Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors meet Wednesday in game five of the second round of the NBA playoffs at the Oracle Arena.

The Houston Rockets look for a third straight victory to take a solid 3-2 series lead. The Houston Rockets are averaging 109.1 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 104.1 points on 43 percent shooting. James Harden is averaging 31.3 points and 6.7 assists while Eric Gordon is averaging 18.7 points and one assist. Chris Paul is the third double-digit scorer and PJ Tucker is grabbing 7.6 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 75.7 percent from the free throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 28.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game. The Houston Rockets have split their last 12 road games.

The Golden State Warriors look to keep the trend alive of the home team winning every game this series to take a 3-2 lead. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 119.5 points on 48.8 percent shooting and allowing 113.5 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 35.4 points and 5.2 rebounds while Stephen Curry is averaging 23.3 points and 5.2 assists. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Draymond Green is grabbing 8.9 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 82.9 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have won eight of their last 10 home games.

The Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Warriors are 11-23-1 ATS in their last 35 home games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Rockets are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the under is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings. The over is 4-1-1 in Warriors last 6 overall. The under is 19-8-2 in Rockets last 29 overall.

The Houston Rockets have covered six of their last eight games as a road underdog and five of those covers were outright victories. The Golden State Warriors have split their last 14 games ATS as a home favorite. 

The Houston Rockets continue to play the Golden State Warriors better than any team in the league, and now they appear to have found something in their small ball lineup with no true center on the court. I've said it from the beginning, as long as the Rockets take care of the basketball and rebound, they're going to win this series. Harden is also fresh off his best game of the playoffs, which gives this Rockets team an extra boost of confidence. Everything seems to fall in place when Harden is being Harden. The Golden State Warriors have a very limited bench and the ridiculous amount of minutes their starters are carrying is taking its toll. I don't think it's a coincidence that Thompson and Curry are struggling in this series. They're on the court a ton and are doing a lot of defending with a Rockets lineup that has five shooters, so there's no weak link to catch a breather. It's tough to shoot when your legs are dead. The Rockets won in Oracle last year, this regular season and could have easily won either of the first two games. 

Give me the points in a game the Rockets have a chance to win outright. 

Pick:
Houston Rockets +6

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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