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Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets - 4/28/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors
Date & Time Sunday April 28, 2019, 3:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Oracle Arena
Oakland, CA
The Line
The Line: Golden State -5.5 -- Over/Under 224.5
TV Channel
ABC
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Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors collide in Game 1 at the Oracle Arena on Sunday afternoon.

The Houston Rockets have been waiting to get a rematch for almost a year and now they have their chance for revenge after taking down the Utah Jazz in five games in the first round. James Harden led the team with averages of 27.8 points, 6.8 rebounds and 8.0 assists per game, Chris Paul averaged 17.4 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.2 assists, Eric Gordon averaged 15.2 points while Clint Capela averaged 10.8 points, 10.6 rebounds and 1.8 blocks per game during the series. The Rockets got through the stellar defense of the Jazz rather easily, but the main thing was that they got through unscathed despite Harden shooting well below his best, but the real positive was that the Rockets got plenty of production from role players Austin Rivers, Kenneth Faried and Danuel House who will all be needed in the next series.

Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors are coming into this series fresh off a six-game battle against the pesky Clippers. Kevin Durant led the team with averages of 35.0 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game, Stephen Curry has yet to really hit his stride but is still averaging 24.7 points, 6.7 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game, Klay Thompson is averaging 17.3 points while Draymond Green is averaging 12.0 points, 7.8 rebounds and 7.8 assists per game in these playoffs. No team can hang with the Warriors when they’re focused and motivated, but at times they were looking past the Clippers and it cost them a couple of games that would be disastrous from this point onwards with the level of competition stepping up.

Looking at the betting trends, the Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last four Sunday games, 1-6 ATS in their last seven games playing on three or more days rest and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Warriors are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Sunday games, 10-22-1 ATS in their last 33 home games and 6-0 ATS in their last six games against a team above .600.

Head to head, the under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Golden State, the under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings overall and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

The Rockets have been waiting for this rematch for almost a year and they look to be in great shape with the role players stepping up. The Warriors were simply disinterested at some points in the regular season and it crept back into their game against the Clippers in the first round. Both Curry and Thompson are currently listed as questionable for Game 1, but I don't believe that for a second. On paper, the Warriors should have no trouble taking down the Rockets, or any team for that matter, but I think the well-rested Rockets kick off this series with a hard-fought win by single digits in what should be a chippy affair.

Pick:
Houston +5.5
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