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Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks - 2/11/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets
Date & Time Monday February 11, 2019, 8:00 PM (EST)
Location
Toyota Center
Houston, Texas
The Line
The Line: Houston Rockets -9.5 -- Over/Under: 220.5
TV Channel
ATSW, NBATV
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The Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets meet Monday in NBA action at the Toyota Center.

The Dallas Mavericks look for another victory after winning six of their last nine games. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 109.1 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 108.6 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 20.6 points and 5.5 assists while Tim Hardaway Jr. is averaging 12 points and three rebounds. Dorian Finney-Smith is grabbing 4.7 rebounds and Trey Burke is dishing three assists. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 73.8 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.1 rebounds per game. The Dallas Mavericks have split their last six road games.

The Houston Rockets could use a win here after splitting their last six games. The Houston Rockets are averaging 113.1 points on 44.7 percent shooting and allowing 111 points on 47.5 percent shooting. James Harden is averaging 36.6 points and 7.8 assists while Kenneth Faried is averaging 16.2 points and 10.4 rebounds. Eric Gordon is the third double-digit scorer and Chris Paul is dishing 7.9 assists. The Houston Rockets are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78 percent from the free throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.9 rebounds per game. The Houston Rockets have split their last six home games.

The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest and 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The over is 9-4 in Rockets last 13 home games. The under is 16-5 in Mavericks last 21 overall.

The Dallas Mavericks have won both meetings against the Houston Rockets this season, and while the Mavs have had their issues on the road, the Rockets have been shaky at best in their own right. Not only did the Rockets just blow a big lead to the OKC Thunder, but they have some highly questionable losses over the last month and have had a lot of games come down to the wire. The Rockets are only winning home games by an average of four points, and they're just 5-10 ATS when favored by at least six points. The Dallas Mavericks are 12-5 ATS when an underdog of at least five points. I like the value of the Mavs and the free points.

Pick:
Dallas Mavericks +9.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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