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Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors - 5/25/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Golden State Warriors (78-17) at Houston Rockets (64-33)
Date & Time Monday May 25, 2015, 9:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Houston Rockets +5 -- Over/Under: 213
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The Golden State Warriors and the Houston Rockets battle in Game 4 at the Toyota Center tonight.

The Golden State Warriors will be looking to complete the series sweep and book their ticket to the NBA Finals tonight after destroying the Rockets by 115-80 in Game 3. Draymond Green and Klay Thompson both had good games, finishing with 17 points apiece but this game was all about the league MVP, Stephen Curry who dominated the game with seven threes en route to a playoff-high 40 points on 12 of 19 shooting. Just like in Game 3, the Warriors started the game red-hot and built a double digit lead in the first half, but unlike Game 3, the Warriors actually piled on the points and just never let up. The Warriors simply dominated in all facets of the game, winning all the hustle plays and it showed on the stat sheet as the Warriors outrebounded the Rockets by 60-39 highlighted by a play where Curry actually boxes out Dwight Howard on a missed shot and grabs an offense rebound.

Howard finished the game with 14 points and 14 rebounds for the Rockets while Josh smith had a decent game of 16 points, but on a cold shooting night, the Rockets desperately needed a big night from James Harden who shot a miserable three of 16 from the field. As a team, the Rockets shot just 33.7 percent from the field and five of 25 from the three-point line, but coming off such a tough loss, the Rockets came out flat in Game 3 and got absolutely torched. Houston will now have to replicate their effort against the Clippers in the Conference Semifinals, but to do that, they'll need a much better effort right from the tipoff in Game 4.

In ATS trends, the Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a win of more than 10 points, while the Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.

Head to head, the Warriors are 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings overall and 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Houston.

The Rockets have their backs against the wall so you know they'll come out with the right sense of urgency but it's just so hard to pick them after what I saw from the Warriors in Game 3. This one probably won't be a blowout, but the Warriors will once again be good enough to get the job done and book their ticket to the NBA Finals.

Golden State -5
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