Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors - 5/4/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets
Saturday, May 4, 2019 at 7:30 PM (Toyota Center)
The Line: Houston Rockets -2.5 -- Over/Under: 222.5
The Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets meet Saturday in game three of the second round of the NBA playoffs at the Toyota Center.
The Golden State Warriors can all but put this series to bed with another victory and a 3-0 lead. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 120.8 points on 49.7 percent shooting and allowing 112.1 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 34.3 points and 5.3 rebounds while Stephen Curry is averaging 23.3 points and five assists. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Draymond Green is grabbing 8.5 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 85 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have won 10 of their last 13 road games.
The Houston Rockets need a victory here to cut the series deficit in half and save their season. The Houston Rockets are averaging 106.3 points on 43.7 percent shooting and allowing 101.1 points on 42.3 percent shooting. James Harden is averaging 29 points and 7.1 assists while Chris Paul is averaging 17.4 points and 5.1 assists. Eric Gordon is the third double-digit scorer and PJ Tucker is grabbing 6.6 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 36.2 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 27.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.1 rebounds per game. The Houston Rockets have won each of their last 10 home games.
The Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest, 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Saturday games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. The Rockets are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The under is 19-7-1 in Rockets last 27 overall. The over is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 overall.
The Golden State Warriors may be up 2-0 in the series, but the Rockets have been right there in both games, losing by a combined 10 points. We had the controversial game one where the Rockets couldn't get a call and got nothing from Clint Capela, and they lost by four. In game two, the Rockets turned the ball over 17 times, couldn't get a rebound and were dealing with the eye injury to Harden, and that was still a three point game with 6:44 left in the fourth quarter. The Golden State Warriors have covered six of their last 10 games as a road underdog. The Houston Rockets are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. The bottom line is that the Rockets have made a lot of mistakes in this series, haven't played a complete game yet and have still had their chances in both contests. At home and with three days off, Harden should have improved vision and the role players always perform better at home. Most expected this to be a long, competitive series. I'll eat the bucket with the Rockets.