Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors - 5/6/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets
Monday, May 6, 2019 at 8:30 PM (Toyota Center)
The Line: Houston Rockets -2 -- Over/Under: 221
The Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets meet Monday in game four of the second round of the NBA playoffs at the Toyota Center.
The Golden State Warriors have another chance to take complete control of this series with a road win and a 3-1 lead. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 120.8 points on 49.1 percent shooting and allowing 113.7 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 35.6 points and five rebounds while Stephen Curry is averaging 22.6 points and 4.9 assists. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Draymond Green is grabbing 8.8 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 38.4 percent from beyond the arc and 84.3 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 37 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have won 10 of their last 14 road games.
The Houston Rockets look for another home victory to tie this series up before heading to Oakland for game five. The Houston Rockets are averaging 108.8 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 103.6 points on 42.6 percent shooting. James Harden is averaging 30.5 points and seven assists while Eric Gordon is averaging 18.5 points and one assist. Chris Paul is the third double-digit scorer and PJ Tucker is grabbing 7.3 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 37.1 percent from beyond the arc and 76.2 percent from the free throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 29.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game. The Houston Rockets have won each of their last 11 home games.
The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss, 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 Monday games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games. The Rockets are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 home games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Warriors are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. The under is 19-8-1 in Rockets last 28 overall. The over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 overall.
The Golden State Warriors have split their last 10 games ATS as a road underdog. The Houston Rockets are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games when a home favorite.
The Houston Rockets looked more like the team from the regular season in their game three victory, as they did a better job of crashing the glass, Capela finally showed some signs of life and the three ball was constantly falling. And the thing that nobody seems to mention is that the Rockets continue to turn the ball over. If the Rockets weren't so sloppy with the ball, they probably have the lead in this series. Regardless, the Rockets play the Warriors extremely well and have been incredibly good at home since the all-star break both SU and ATS. Another thing to pay attention to is the lack of depth from the Warriors, as those heavy minutes the starters are carrying will take its toll the longer this series goes.
I'll lay the bucket with the Rockets.