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Houston Rockets vs. Miami Heat - 2/28/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Heat at Houston Rockets
Date & Time Thursday February 28, 2019, 8:00 PM (EST)
Toyota Center
Houston, Texas
The Line
The Line: Houston Rockets -9.5 -- Over/Under: 219
TV Channel
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The Miami Heat and Houston Rockets meet Thursday in NBA action at the Toyota Center.

The Miami Heat could use a win after losing six of their last eight games. The Miami Heat are averaging 105.1 points on 44.7 percent shooting and allowing 106.2 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Josh Richardson is averaging 17.4 points and four assists while Goran Dragic is averaging 14.3 points and 4.5 assists. Dwyane Wade is the third double-digit scorer and Hassan Whiteside is grabbing 12.3 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 68.8 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.3 rebounds per game. The Miami Heat have lost four of their last six road games.

The Houston Rockets look for a victory after winning seven of their last 10 games. The Houston Rockets are averaging 113.2 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allowing 111.1 points on 47.6 percent shooting. James Harden is averaging 36.3 points and 7.6 assists while Clint Capela is averaging 17.1 points and 12.5 rebounds. Eric Gordon is the third double-digit scorer and Chris Paul is dishing 8.3 assists. The Houston Rockets are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.6 rebounds per game. The Houston Rockets have won five of their last seven home games.

The Heat are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 vs. NBA Southwest, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games and 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 games playing on 0 days rest. The Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Southeast, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference and 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The under is 5-1-1 in Rockets last 7 overall. The under is 9-4 in Heat last 13 road games.

Both teams are on the end of a back to back and the first meeting between these clubs was decided by one bucket. The Houston Rockets are just 5-9 ATS this season when favored by seven or more points and have been awfully sluggish lately as they're still trying to play with a 100 percent healthy roster. The Miami Heat could be in a letdown spot after a last second win over the Golden State Warriors, but they've been competitive on the road this season and are actually a healthy 19-11 ATS on the road this season. I'll take a shot with the points, as the Rockets aren't firing on all cylinders yet to be laying these type of numbers.

Miami Heat +9.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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