Utah Jazz at Houston Rockets
|Date & Time||Wednesday April 24, 2019, 8:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Houston -8 -- Over/Under 212.5
The Utah Jazz will be aiming to stave off elimination against the Houston Rockets in Game 5 at the Toyota Center on Wednesday.
The Utah Jazz will be fighting to keep their season alive once again after avoiding the series sweep with a 107-91 home win in Game 4. Donovan Mitchell led the team in scoring with 31 points, seven rebounds and four assists, Jae Crowder sparked the team early on with 23 points on eight of 13 shooting while Ricky Rubio chipped in with 18 points and 11 assists. As a team, the Jazz shot just 43 percent from the field and 11 of 35 from the 3-point line, but you can put this win down to their defense, particularly in the fourth quarter where they outscored the Rockets by 31-12 to make it a blowout. Rudy Gobert finished with just four points, Joe Ingles scored just three points while Rubio shot six of 17 from the field, but the Jazz made up for that on the glass as they grabbed a total of 16 offensive boards to outrebound the Rockets by 52-35.
Meanwhile, the Houston Rockets will be disappointed that they weren’t able to complete the sweep in Game 4, but they will be confident of sealing the deal at home they are currently scoring an average of 120 points in these playoffs. James Harden led the team with 30 points on eight of 19 shooting, Chris Paul added 23 points with eight rebounds, seven assists and five steals while Eric Gordon chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Rockets shot just 35 percent from the field and 17 of 46 from the 3-point line, but they actually seemed to be in decent shape with a lead heading into the fourth quarter, until the Jazz broke the game open with a 15-1 run. Harden struggled to protect the ball as he finished with eight turnovers, Clint Capela scored just four points on one of six shooting while the bench combined to score just five points.
Looking at the betting trends, the Jazz are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games against a team with a home record above .600, 4-1 ATS in their last five games playing on one days rest and 1-5 ATS in their last six Conference Quarterfinals games. The Rockets are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight home games, 5-1 ATS in their last six Conference Quarterfinals games and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Head to head, the under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings and the Jazz are 1-4-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
The Rockets will be confident they can bounce back and finish the job at home where they are currently averaging 120 points per game in this series. However, the Jazz looked great last night and they will take plenty of confidence from their defensive effort that was able to hold the Rockets to just 91 points. The Jazz have a decent chance of pulling off the upset if they defend like they did last night, but they haven’t shown that defense on the road yet, so I’m sticking with the Rockets who have looked unbeatable at home so far. I think the Rockets made the necessary adjustments at home to advance to the second round with a win and cover here.