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L.A. Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors - 4/21/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Golden State Warriors at L.A. Clippers
Date & Time Sunday April 21, 2019, 3:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Staples Center
Los Angeles, California
The Line
The Line: L.A. Clippers +9 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ABC
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Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports

The Golden State Warriors and Los Angeles Clippers meet Sunday in game four of the NBA Western Conference playoffs at the Staples Center.

The Golden State Warriors look for another victory to take a commanding 3-1 series lead and move one win away from advancing to the next round. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 128 points on 52.3 percent shooting and allowing 114.7 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Stephen Curry is averaging 29.3 points and 4.7 assists while Kevin Durant is averaging 27.3 points and 4.3 rebounds. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Draymond Green is grabbing 5.7 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 43 percent from beyond the arc and 87.7 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.3 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have won seven of their last 10 road games.

The Los Angeles Clippers need a win here to tie up the series and give themselves any shot of pulling off a historic upset. The Los Angeles Clippers are averaging 114.7 points on 44.2 percent shooting and allowing 128 points on 52.3 percent shooting. Lou Williams is averaging 25.7 points and 8.7 assists while Montrezl Harrell is averaging 22 points and 6.3 rebounds. Danilo Gallinari is the third double-digit scorer and JaMychal Green is grabbing six rebounds. The Los Angeles Clippers are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 80.5 percent from the free throw line. The Los Angeles Clippers are allowing 43 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39 rebounds per game. The Los Angeles Clippers have won 10 of their last 14 home games.

The Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest, 27-9 ATS in their last 36 Conference Quarterfinals games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Sunday games. The Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games and  21-8 ATS in their last 29 vs. NBA Pacific. The Warriors are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in LA and the road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The over is 10-4 in Clippers last 14 overall. The under is 19-7 in Warriors last 26 overall.

That's now back-to-back games where the Golden State Warriors have had a 30-plus point lead over the Clippers and pretty much had their way with them through the first three quarters. The Clippers have gotten off to extremely slow starts in every game this series and simply don't have the firepower to dig themselves out of such a hole. It's exhausting. Any carryover from the game two collapse didn't show up and the Clippers don't have a strong enough fan base in Los Angeles for home court to mean much. The Clippers are now 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games when an underdog of five or more points. The Warriors have covered 13 of their last 15 postseason road games when a favorite of five or more points. I gave the Clippers a chance in game three, thinking they would get up for another game after the outcome of game two. The Warriors are just too explosive. I have to lay the chalk this time.

Pick:
Golden State Warriors -9

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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