L.A. Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors - 4/26/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Golden State Warriors at L.A. Clippers
Friday, April 26, 2019 at 9:00 PM (STAPLES Center)
The Line: Los Angeles +9.5 -- Over/Under 232.5
The Los Angeles Clippers once again look to keep their season alive as they battle the Golden State Warriors in Game 6 at the STAPLES Center on Friday.
The Golden State Warriors will be kicking themselves after blowing a chance to close out the series after falling to the Clippers in a 129-121 loss at home in Game 5. Kevin Durant led the team with a playoff career-high 45 points on 14 of 26 shooting, Stephen Curry added 24 points with four assists while Klay Thompson chipped in with 22 points on nine of 20 shooting. As a team, the Warriors shot 44 percent from the field and 15 of 39 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in control after setting the tone with 41 points in an explosive first quarter, but it was a battle from that point onwards as the Warriors just left themselves too much ground to make up after falling behind by 15 points. The Warriors got next to nothing from their reserves who combined for just 17 points and on the defensive end, they just made too many mistakes against the Clippers’ pick and roll offense.
Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Clippers will be full of confidence after extending the series with a hard-fought road win in Game 5. Lou Williams led from the front with 33 points and 10 assists on 12 of 19 shooting off the bench, Danilo Gallinari added 26 points on nine of 22 shooting, Montrezl Harrell scored 24 points on 11 of 14 shooting while Patrick Beverley racked up 17 points with a game-high 14 rebounds and four assists. As a team, the Clippers shot a healthy 54 percent from the field and 13 of 34 from the 3-point line as they took the early lead after pouring in 71 points in the first half, but their bread and butter was the combination of Williams and Harrell which really messed up the Warriors’ switching defensive schemes.
Looking at the betting trends, the Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a loss, 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games playing on one days rest and 2-5 ATS in their last seven Conference Quarterfinals games. The Clippers are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing on one days rest, 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games following a win.
Head to head, the over is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings, the road team is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings and the Warriors are 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings in LA.
The Warriors were heavily favored to close out the series at home on Wednesday, but they couldn’t get the job done against the Clippers who refuse to give up. Durant balled out with 45 points while Curry and Thompson combined for 46 points, but the Warriors rarely got consecutive stops on the defensive end until the fourth quarter, but it was too little, too late. The Warriors won’t be in a panic as they still have two more chances to seal the deal, but the Clippers just won’t go away, so while I think the Warriors finally get the job done here, I like the Clippers to hang around till the end.