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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Denver Nuggets - 1/28/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies
Date & Time Monday January 28, 2019, 8:00 PM (EST)
FedEx Forum
The Line
The Line: Memphis +5.5 -- Over/Under 209.5
TV Channel
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Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Denver Nuggets pay a visit to the Memphis Grizzlies at the FedEx Forum on Monday night.

The Denver Nuggets have been in great form as they’ve won 12 of their last 16 games and they will be aiming for a third straight win after blowing past the 76ers in a 126-110 home win on Saturday. Nikola Jokic led the team with a triple-double of 32 points with 18 rebounds and 10 assists, Miles Plumlee added 17 points with four assists while Will Barton chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Nuggets shot 51 percent from the field and eight of 24 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 41 points in the first quarter before they flexed their muscle on the defensive end in the fourth quarter where they held the 76ers to just 14 points. With the win, Denver improved to 33-15 overall and 22-4 at home.

Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies have been in a world of hurt as they’ve lost 14 of their last 16 games, but they will be breathing a major sigh of relief after snapping an eight-game skid with a hard-fought 106-103 home win over the Pacers on Saturday. Mike Conley led the team with 22 points and 11 assists, Jaren Jackson Jr. added 20 points while Marc Gasol chipped in with 18 points, seven rebounds and four assists. As a team, the Grizzlies shot 48 percent from the field and nine of 28 from the 3-point line as they escaped with the narrow win after leading by as many as 11 points in the final minute of the fourth quarter. With the win, Memphis improved to 20-30 overall and 12-13 at home.

Looking at the betting trends, the Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a losing record, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. The Grizzlies are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games, 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games against a team with a winning record and 5-21 ATS in their last 26 games overall.

Head to head, the under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings overall and the home team is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.

The Grizzlies were able to snap out of their funk with a much-needed win over the shorthanded Pacers on Saturday, but it’s still hard to trust a team who have lost 14 of their last 16 games. On the other hand, the Nuggets have been in red-hot form lately and are coming into this one fresh off a blowout win over the 76ers. The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games while the Grizzlies are 5-21 ATS in their last 26 games. With that being said, I’m sticking with the more reliable Nuggets to take care of business with a win and cover in this one.

Denver -5.5
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