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Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks - 3/4/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat
Date & Time Monday March 4, 2019, 7:30 PM (EST)
American Airlines Arena
Miami, Florida
The Line
The Line: Miami Heat -9 -- Over/Under: 223.5
TV Channel
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Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat meet Monday in NBA action at the American Airlines Arena.

The Atlanta Hawks look for a win after splitting their last eight games. The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 112.1 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 119.1 points on 47.4 percent shooting. John Collins is averaging 19.5 points and 9.5 rebounds while Trae Young is averaging 18.3 points and 7.8 assists. Kent Bazemore is the third double-digit scorer and Dewayne Dedmon is grabbing 7.3 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 75.2 percent from the free throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.6 rebounds per game. The Atlanta Hawks have split their last six road games.

The Miami Heat could use a win after losing eight of their last 12 games. The Miami Heat are averaging 105.9 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 106.5 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Josh Richardson is averaging 17.4 points and four assists while Goran Dragic is averaging 15.3 points and 4.3 assists. Dwyane Wade is the third double-digit scorer and Hassan Whiteside is grabbing 12.3 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 69.2 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.3 rebounds per game. The Miami Heat have lost six of their last eight home games.

The Hawks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 0 days rest, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Heat are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Southeast, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Hawks are 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the underdog is 15-5-2 ATS in the last 22 meetings. The over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 overall. The over is 5-2 in Hawks last 7 road games.

The Miami Heat have played some decent ball during their last few games and are right back in the thick of the playoff race. The Heat should win this game. However, the Hawks have won all three meetings against the Heat this season and enter this game averaging almost 130 points in their last five games. The Heat have had issues all year with teams that like to push the pace and can score a lot. The Heat are also just 3-7 ATS when favored by at least six points. I have to take the Atlanta Hawks and the free buckets.

Atlanta Hawks +9

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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