Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Lakers - 12/13/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Los Angeles Lakers at Miami Heat
Friday, December 13, 2019 at 7:00 PM (AmericanAirlines Arena)
Lakers -3 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The NBA’s game of the night on Friday will take place in Miami at AmericanAirlines Arena when the Los Angeles Lakers (22-3), which shares the best record in the NBA with Milwaukee, comes to town to face the Heat (18-6). Miami is second in the Eastern Conference to Milwaukee and is also undefeated at home this season, winning those home games by an average of 15.7 points per game.
Miami is on quite a run, winning three in a row and six of its last seven with the streak only spoiled by a 112-93 loss at Boston on Dec. 4. Despite the success at home, the Heat has one each of their last two home games in overtime against Atlanta and Chicago, eventually beating the Bulls by five and the Hawks by 14. Miami is 4-0 in overtime games this season, winning those games by an average of nearly nine points per game. Interestingly enough, three of Miami’s last five games have been decided in overtime.
Kendrick Nunn, Duncan Robinson, and Bam Adebayo all had massive games in the win over Atlanta with Nunn scoring 36 points with six rebounds, Robinson scoring a career-high 34 points on 10-of-14 shooting from 3-point range, and Adebayo outdoing them all with a triple-double, scoring a career-best 30 points with 11 assists and 11 rebounds. With all of that scoring, Jimmy Butler’s triple-double is almost overlooked, but he scored 20 points, grabbed a career-high 18 rebounds, and dished 10 assists. There wasn’t much room for scoring from anyone else, but Derrick Jones Jr. came off the bench for nine points and seven rebounds.
The Heat will still be without three of their six highest-paid players on Friday with Goran Dragic, Justise Winslow, and Dion Waiters all being ruled out with injuries or illness.
Butler leads the Heat in scoring with 20.6 points per game this season and he adds 7.0 assists and 6.9 rebounds per game. Nunn scores 16.2 points per game, and Dragic adds 15.9 points per game when he is healthy. Adebayo is averaging a double-double with 15.3 points and 10.5 rebounds per game, while Tyler Herro mostly comes off the bench for 13.9 points per game. The injured Winslow scores 12.5 points with 7.1 rebounds per game while Robinson adds 11.8 points per game.
After a season-opening loss to the Clippers, the Lakers have been on a tear. They are currently on a five-game winning streak and have won 15 of their last 16 and 22 of their last 24 games. The only other losses have been a 113-104 loss against Toronto and a 114-110 defeat to Dallas -- both home games. The Lakers’ loss to the Clippers was a designated Clipper home game, which means that the Lakers are undefeated outside of Staples Center this year. The Lakers also have the second-best scoring margin in the NBA this year at +9.8.
Most recently, the Lakers won on Wednesday in Orlando, 96-87. It was the second-lowest total that the Lakers have scored this year after two 95-point performances against Utah and Miami. While Anthony Davis has been stealing many of the Lakers’ headlines this year, it was LeBron James who led them to the win over the Magic. After Orlando tied the game early in the fourth quarter at 71 apiece after trailing by as many as 24 earlier in the game, James scored all 10 points in a 10-0 Lakers scoring run that opened the game back and secured the win. James finished with 25 points, 11 rebounds, and 10 assists, which is his sixth triple-double of the season, while Davis had another double-double with 16 points and 12 rebounds. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope added 15 points in the win.
Davis and James are each in the NBA’s top 10 in scoring with Davis sitting seventh at 27.2 points per game and James in 10th at 25.8 points per game. Davis is also 21st in the league in rebounding at 9.2 per game, while James leads the NBA averaging 10.8 assists per game. Kyle Kuzma, who has been out since Sunday with an ankle injury and is day-to-day for Friday’s game, adds 11.1 points per game for the Lakers.
Miami is the best team in the NBA in home games against the spread at 9-2, but the Lakers are respectable in road games against the spread at 8-5. Both teams are playing good basketball but with the Heat having three overtime games in their last five along with a loss and the Lakers winning their last four road games by an average of 16.5 points per game including wins at Denver and Utah, the safe bet is the road team. So the Lakers minus the three points is the play.