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Miami Heat vs. Phoenix Suns - 2/25/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Phoenix Suns at Miami Heat
Date & Time Monday February 25, 2019, 7:30 PM (EST)
Location
American Airlines Arena
Miami, Florida
The Line
The Line: Miami Heat -9 -- Over/Under: 216
TV Channel
FSS, FSAZ
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NBA | Phoenix Suns at Miami Heat
Jennifer Stewart-USA TODAY Sports

The Phoenix Suns and Miami Heat meet Monday in NBA action at the American Airlines Arena.

The Phoenix Suns are still looking for their first victory since January 12. The Phoenix Suns are averaging 105.9 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 116.1 points on 48.3 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 24.7 points and 6.7 assists while TJ Warren is averaging 18 points and four rebounds. Deandre Ayton is the third double-digit scorer and Kelly Oubre Jr. is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 32.7 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 36.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.1 rebounds per game. The Phoenix Suns haven’t won a road game since December 26.

The Miami Heat could use a win after losing eight of their last 10 games. The Miami Heat are averaging 104.8 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allowing 105.9 points on 44.5 percent shooting. Josh Richardson is averaging 17.6 points and 3.9 assists while Goran Dragic is averaging 14.5 points and 4.5 assists. Dwyane Wade is the third double-digit scorer and Hassan Whiteside is grabbing 12.3 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 68.6 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.3 rebounds per game. The Miami Heat have lost their last five home games.

The Suns are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games, 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games playing on 1 days rest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Suns are 3-14 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Miami and 7-26 ATS in the last 33 meetings. The over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. The under is 5-1 in Suns last 6 overall.

The Miami Heat have won each of the last four games against the Phoenix Suns, and all four of those victories are by double digits. It's no secret the Suns are absolute garbage, and they're being outscored by an average of 14.2 points in their last five games and 13 points on the road this season. However, the Miami Heat aren't much better, as they're losing by an average of 6.8 points in their last five games and struggle to score at times. This is the same Heat team that got blown out Saturday against the Pistons and have lost three times to the Atlanta Hawks. The Heat shouldn't be this big of a favorite against anybody and have actually been a nine point favorite or bigger just three times. Give me the Suns and the free buckets.

Pick:
Phoenix Suns +9

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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