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Miami Heat vs. Sacramento Kings - 10/29/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Sacramento Kings (3-3) at Miami Heat (3-2)
Date & Time Monday October 29, 2018, 7:30 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Miami Heat -8 -- Over/Under: 225.5
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NBA | Sacramento Kings (3-3) at Miami Heat (3-2)
Sergio Estrada-USA TODAY Sports

The Sacramento Kings pay a visit to the Miami Heat at the American Airlines Arena on Monday night.

The Sacramento Kings have been playing decent basketball as they’ve won three of their last four games and they will be aiming for a third straight win after beating the Wizards by 116-112 on Friday. Nemanja Bjelica led the team with six three-pointers on his way to 26 points, 12 rebounds and three assists, Buddy Hield added 22 points, De’Aaron Fox scored 18 points with nine assists while Willie Cauley-Stein chipped in with 17 points, 11 rebounds and seven assists. As a team, the Kings shot 46 percent from the field and 14 of 37 from the three-point line but they had to battle until the fourth quarter where they exploded for 37 points thanks largely to Bjelica who drained three of his six three-pointers in the quarter.

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat will also be aiming for a third straight win after taking down the in-form Trailblazers in a 120-111 home win on Saturday. Goran Dragic led the team with 28 points and five assists, Kelly Olynyk and Dwyane Wade each scored 19 points while Rodney McGruder chipped in with 14 points. As a team, the Heat shot 45 percent from the field and 15 of 39 from the three-point line as they held onto win after dominating the first half to lead by 57-42 going into halftime. Defensively, the Heat could do little to stop Damian Lillard who poured in 42 points, but they kept a lid on CJ McCollum who shot just seven of 20 for his 18 points.

Looking at the betting trends, the Kings are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record and 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 against the Eastern Conference. The Heat are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a win.

Head to head, the over is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings, the Kings are 8-21 ATS in the last 29 meetings overall and 4-12 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Miami.

The Heat haven’t really clicked into gear yet this season, but their big win over the Trailblazers on Saturday should do wonders for their confidence. The Kings have been playing surprisingly well lately and they’re certainly capable of pulling off the upset on the road here. Looking at the betting trends, the Heat have owned this matchup in recent seasons especially when playing at home, but I think the Kings do enough to at least get the cover in this one.

Sacramento +8

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