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Miami Heat vs. San Antonio Spurs - 11/7/18 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
San Antonio Spurs (6-3) at Miami Heat (4-5)
Date & Time Wednesday November 7, 2018, 7:30 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Miami Heat -1.5 -- Over/Under: 214.5
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NBA | San Antonio Spurs (6-3) at Miami Heat (4-5)
Soobum Im-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Heat play host to the San Antonio Spurs at the American Airlines Arena on Wednesday night.

The San Antonio Spurs have been in solid form as they’ve won six of their first nine games but they will be looking to bounce back after having their four-game win streak snapped by the Magic in a 117-110 home loss on Sunday. DeMar DeRozan led the team with 25 points and five assists, Patty Mills added 16 points, Marco Belinelli scored 15 points while LaMarcus Aldridge chipped in with just 14 points. As a team, the Spurs shot 43 percent from the field and 12 of 35 from the three-point line but this was their second game of a back to back set and it showed on defense as they allowed 36 points in the first quarter which had them trailing from the start.

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat will be looking for a second straight win after snapping a three-game skid with a 120-115 overtime win over the Pistons on Monday. Josh Richardson led the team with 27 points, Goran Dragic added 21 points and six assists while Dwyane Wade chipped in with 18 points off the bench. As a team, the Heat shot 45 percent from the field and 12 of 31 from the three-point line as they outlasted the dynamic front court of the Pistons without Hassan Whiteside who missed the game with an injured right knee.

Looking at the betting trends, the Spurs are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games, 0-4 ATS in their last four against the Eastern Conference and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a losing record. The Heat are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games, 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning record and 11-28 ATS in their last 39 home games.

Head to head, the over is 5-1 in the last six meetings, the Spurs are 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings overall and 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings in Miami.

The Spurs were on a nice roll before stumbling against the Magic on Sunday, but this wasn’t too surprising given that it was their second game in as many nights. The Heat were able to arrest a three-game slide with a hard-fought overtime win on the road so they’ll be feeling pretty good about themselves now. Both squads will be shorthanded here as the Heat will be missing Whiteside while the Spurs are playing with a starting point guard, but the Spurs did won both meetings last season by double digits and they’ve covered in 10 of the last 11 meetings overall, so that's where I'm leaning in this one.

Pick:
San Antonio +1.5

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