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Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons - 4/22/19 NBA Game 4 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons
Date & Time Monday April 22, 2019, 8:00 PM (EDT)
Little Caesars Arena
Detroit, Michigan
The Line
The Line: Detroit Pistons +12 -- Over/Under: 218
TV Channel
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Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Bucks and Detroit Pistons meet Monday in game four of the NBA Eastern Conference playoffs at the Little Caesars Arena.

The Milwaukee Bucks look to complete the sweep and advance to the next round to face the Boston Celtics. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 120 points on 50 percent shooting and allowing 96 points on 38 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 21.3 points and 13 rebounds while Eric Bledsoe is averaging 20.3 points and 5.3 assists. Khris Middleton is the third double-digit scorer and Brook Lopez is grabbing 5.3 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 37.4 percent from beyond the arc and 76.1 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 31.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 53 rebounds per game. The Milwaukee Bucks have won five of their last nine road games.

The Detroit Pistons look to avoid the sweep while forcing a game five on Wednesday. The Detroit Pistons are averaging 96 points on 38 percent shooting and allowing 120 points on 50 percent shooting. Blake Griffin is averaging 27 points and seven rebounds while Luke Kennard is averaging 16.3 points and two assists. Reggie Jackson is the third double-digit scorer and Andre Drummond is grabbing 13.3 rebounds. The Detroit Pistons are shooting 31.3 percent from beyond the arc and 72.2 percent from the free throw line. The Detroit Pistons are allowing 37.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game. The Detroit Pistons have won 12 of their last 15 home games.

The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games, 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games and 23-8-1 ATS in their last 32 games playing on 1 days rest. The Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Conference Quarterfinals games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Bucks are 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the favorite is 8-1-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The under is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 home games. The over is 8-2 in Bucks last 10 overall.

The Detroit Pistons have Blake Griffin back in the mix, which obviously makes them a much better and more competitive team, but even with him playing well in game three, they lost by 16 points. The Pistons just don't have enough firepower to hang with the Bucks. In fact, the Bucks have won each of the last seven meetings against the Pistons and the average margin of victory in those games was 18.7 points. The Bucks are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games as a double-digit favorite. The Pistons are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a double-digit underdog. Even with Griffin back, I haven't seen enough from the Pistons that suggests they can compete in these series. Give me the chalk again in what should be a sweep.

Milwaukee Bucks -12

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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