Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors
|Date & Time||Saturday May 25, 2019, 8:30 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Toronto Raptors -2.5 -- Over/Under: 212
The Milwaukee Bucks and Toronto Raptors meet Saturday in game six of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals at the Scotiabank Arena.
The Milwaukee Bucks need a victory here in order to force a game seven on Monday. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 114.1 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 104.3 points on 40.1 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 25.9 points and 12.3 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 17.1 points and 6.5 rebounds. Eric Bledsoe is the third double-digit scorer and Malcolm Brogdon is dishing 3.7 assists. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc and 73 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 33.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 52.6 rebounds per game. The Milwaukee Bucks have won four of their last six road games.
The Toronto Raptors will advance to their first ever NBA Finals with a victory here. The Toronto Raptors are averaging 105.2 points on 43.9 percent shooting and allowing 99.9 points on 41.7 percent shooting. Kawhi Leonard is averaging 31.4 points and 8.4 rebounds while Pascal Siakam is averaging 18.7 points and 7.2 rebounds. Kyle Lowry is the third double-digit scorer and Marc Gasol is grabbing 6.3 rebounds. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 34 percent from beyond the arc and 82.3 percent from the free throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 31.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.1 rebounds per game. The Toronto Raptors have won their last four home games.
The Bucks are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 road games, 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games playing on 1 days rest and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Raptors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games, 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 Saturday games. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. The over is 8-1 in Bucks last 9 road games.
The Milwaukee Bucks have covered nine of their last 12 games as an underdog. The Toronto Raptors have split their last 12 games ATS as a favorite.
I still think the Milwaukee Bucks are the better team, but I also think they blew their chance to win this series with their loss in game five. It's extremely tough to win on the road this time of year, especially when you have role players who can disappear. The Toronto Raptors look more like a balanced and confident team at home with Norman Powell, Serge Ibaka and Fred VanVleet playing with a little more pep in their step and hitting shots. Kawhi Leonard seems to be getting better health wise, as he had a little more spring in his jump shot in game five. The Toronto Raptors have the whole country behind them and you can expect a ridiculous atmosphere with history on the line. Scotiabank Arena is usually a tough place to play in the playoffs, but that venue will be jumping like never before in the biggest game in franchise history. This feels like a tough spot for the young Bucks to prevail, especially with the Raptors building this wall to slowdown Antetokounmpo. Role players will have to step up for the Bucks to have a chance.
I'm laying the bucket with the Raptors.