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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Boston Celtics - 5/8/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks
Date & Time Wednesday May 8, 2019, 8:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Fiserv Forum
Milwaukee, Wisconsin
The Line
The Line: Milwaukee Bucks -9.5 -- Over/Under: 218
TV Channel
TNT
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Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks meet Wednesday in game five of the second round NBA playoffs at the Fiserv Forum.

The Boston Celtics need a victory here in order to save their season and force a game six on Friday. The Boston Celtics are averaging 103.5 points on 44 percent shooting and allowing 102 points on 41.8 percent shooting. Kyrie Irving is averaging 22.1 points and 7.8 assists while Jayson Tatum is averaging 15.4 points and 6.8 rebounds. Al Horford is the third double-digit scorer and Jaylen Brown is grabbing 6.1 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 81 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.8 rebounds per game. The Boston Celtics have won six of their last seven home games.

The Milwaukee Bucks will advance to their first conference finals since 2000-01 with a victory. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 117 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 102.9 points on 41 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.4 points and 11.8 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 19.1 points and 5.8 rebounds. Eric Bledsoe is the third double-digit scorer and George Hill is dishing 3.3 assists. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 72.8 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 33.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 51.3 rebounds per game. The Milwaukee Bucks have won nine of their last 12 home games.

The Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, 20-5-2 ATS in their last 27 Wednesday games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. The Bucks are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games playing on 1 days rest, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Conference Semifinals games and 38-18-2 ATS in their last 58 games overall. The Celtics are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Milwaukee and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The over is 11-4 in Bucks last 15 overall. The over is 9-4 in Celtics last 13 road games.

The Boston Celtics have covered 10 of their last 13 games as a road underdog and five of their last six games as a road underdog of at least five points. The Milwaukee Bucks are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite and 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite of at least five points.

The Boston Celtics had many chances to make this series competitive or even take control of it, and they've lost the last three games by an average of 13.3 points while getting nothing from Kyrie offensively. The Celtics had their hands full in this series as it was, but they have zero chance if Kyrie is going to shoot 36.9 percent from the field and 24.8 percent from three. It's almost like Kyrie has his mind already on his new team and isn't focused on this series, as he's missing even the wide open looks from three and easy layups. We've seen in the past where teams know they're beat and the shoulders start slumping, and that usually results in an absolute beatdown in the close out game. I don't love big numbers in NBA playoff games, but the Celtics haven't given me much reason to get behind them. 

Pick:
Milwaukee Bucks -9.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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